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NCAAF

Damon Ferguson Jr.

Pittsburgh

Value call

Damon Ferguson Jr. (Pittsburgh) has one live pick today: under 78.5 rushing yards that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
48 in 100
Predicted
76.0 rushing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 48.4% · before adjusting for past results 52.4% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap -4.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Florida State Seminoles @ Pittsburgh Panthers
Fri 13 Nov, 7:00 PM ET
Damon Ferguson Jr.
under 78.5 rushing yards
Rushing Yards Under 78.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
LEANWins about 48 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.77 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Damon Ferguson Jr. is Under 78.5 on Rushing Yards.
On Rushing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 48 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 48%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Nov 15, 4:05PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf player rush yds unders: +$2,107 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards52.4%48.4%53.2%2.00+2.4%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games3/6

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AI Analysis

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Pittsburgh Panthers vs Florida State Seminoles: Damon Ferguson Jr. Under 78.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 14 November 2026, Pittsburgh Panthers host Florida State Seminoles in college football. The bet we are looking at is Damon Ferguson Jr. Under 78.5 Rushing Yards. This wins if Damon Ferguson Jr. finishes with fewer than 78.5 rushing yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.77 if it lands. That price was showing at BetOnline. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Nov 26 Florida State Seminoles @ Pittsburgh Panthers Rushing Yards 78.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
17 Oct 26 Pittsburgh Panthers @ Boston College Eagles Rushing Yards 50.5 Over -110 ✓ HIT
17 Oct 26 Pittsburgh Panthers @ Boston College Eagles Rushing Yards 53.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT
13 Nov 26 Florida State Seminoles @ Pittsburgh Panthers Rushing Yards — — — Pending
24 Oct 26 Pittsburgh Panthers @ Miami Hurricanes Rushing Yards — — — Pending
24 Oct 26 Pittsburgh Panthers @ Miami Hurricanes Rushing Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Damon Ferguson Jr. (Pittsburgh) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Damon Ferguson Jr. is Under 78.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.4% on this pick. Their next game is Florida State Seminoles vs Pittsburgh Panthers on Friday 13 November. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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