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NCAAF

Brandon Smith

Oregon

Value call

Brandon Smith (Oregon) has one live pick today: over 0.5 rush tds that pays $530 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
42 in 100
Predicted
0.3 Rush TDs
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 41.6% · before adjusting for past results 22.4% · the book's price implies 18.9% · gap +22.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Oregon Ducks @ Illinois Fighting Illini
Sat 24 Oct, 3:00 PM ET
Brandon Smith
over 0.5 rush tds
Rush TDs Over 0.5 +430 (5.30) · $100→$530
Value call
LEANWins about 42 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$53.00 Odds+430
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Brandon Smith is Over 0.5 on Rush TDs.
On Rush TDs, our numbers say this bet wins about 42 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 42%, the price says 19%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 25, 9:56AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rush TDs22.4%41.6%18.9%2.40+3.5%

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AI Analysis

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Illinois Fighting Illini vs Oregon Ducks: Brandon Smith Over 0.5 Rushing Touchdowns (+430)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 24 October 2026, Illinois Fighting Illini host Oregon Ducks in college football. The bet we are looking at is Brandon Smith Over 0.5 Rushing Touchdowns. This wins if Brandon Smith finishes with more than 0.5 rushing touchdowns. It was priced at +430 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $53 if it lands. That price was showing at Fliff. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
24 Oct 26 Oregon Ducks @ Illinois Fighting Illini Rush TDs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Brandon Smith (Oregon) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Brandon Smith is Over 0.5 on Rush TDs. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.5% on this pick. Their next game is Oregon Ducks vs Illinois Fighting Illini on Saturday 24 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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