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NCAAF

Abu Sama III

Wisconsin

Value call

Abu Sama III (Wisconsin) has one live pick today: over 42.5 rushing yards that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
51 in 100
Predicted
43.2 rushing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 50.7% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +0.5%.

Latest Model PickFree
USC Trojans @ Wisconsin Badgers
Sat 24 Oct, 7:30 PM ET
Abu Sama III
over 42.5 rushing yards
Rushing Yards Over 42.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
LEANWins about 51 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.77 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Abu Sama III is Over 42.5 on Rushing Yards.
On Rushing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 51 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 51%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 25, 8:59AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards50.7%—53.2%2.00+0.5%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games4/10

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AI Analysis

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Wisconsin Badgers vs USC Trojans: Abu Sama III Over 42.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 24 October 2026, Wisconsin Badgers host USC Trojans in college football. The bet we are looking at is Abu Sama III Over 42.5 Rushing Yards. This wins if Abu Sama III finishes with more than 42.5 rushing yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.77 if it lands. That price was showing at BetOnline. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
24 Oct 26 USC Trojans @ Wisconsin Badgers Rushing Yards 42.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT
17 Oct 26 Wisconsin Badgers @ UCLA Bruins Rushing Yards 44.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
26 Sep 26 Wisconsin Badgers @ Penn State Nittany Lions Receiving Yards 5.5 Over -106 ✓ HIT
26 Sep 26 Wisconsin Badgers @ Penn State Nittany Lions Rushing Yards — — — Pending
26 Sep 26 Wisconsin Badgers @ Penn State Nittany Lions Rushing Yards — — — Pending
26 Sep 26 Wisconsin Badgers @ Penn State Nittany Lions Rushing Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Abu Sama III (Wisconsin) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Abu Sama III is Over 42.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.5% on this pick. Their next game is USC Trojans vs Wisconsin Badgers on Saturday 24 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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