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The latest Bet Better model pick for Abu Sama III is Over 40.5 on Rushing Yards.
On Rushing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 52 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 52%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 5, 3:57AM UTC
NCAAF

Abu Sama III

Wisconsin

Value call

Abu Sama III (Wisconsin) has one live pick today: Rushing Yards Over 40.5 that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Rushing Yards Over 40.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
Michigan State Spartans @ Wisconsin Badgers
Sat 3 Oct, 4:30PM
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 603 of 1,118 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
52 in 100
Predicted
41.2 Rushing Yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 52.1% · before adjusting for past results 51.6% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap -1.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards51.6%52.1%53.2%2.00+1.6%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games4/10

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AI Analysis

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Wisconsin Badgers vs Michigan State Spartans: Abu Sama III Over 40.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing

On Saturday 3 October 2026, Wisconsin Badgers host Michigan State Spartans in college football. The bet we are looking at is Abu Sama III Over 40.5 Rushing Yards. This wins if Abu Sama III finishes with more than 40.5 rushing yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.77 if it lands. That price was showing at BetOnline. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Sep 26 Wisconsin Badgers @ Penn State Nittany Lions Receiving Yards 5.5 Over -106 ✓ HIT
26 Sep 26 Wisconsin Badgers @ Penn State Nittany Lions Rushing Yards — — — Pending
26 Sep 26 Wisconsin Badgers @ Penn State Nittany Lions Rushing Yards — — — Pending
26 Sep 26 Wisconsin Badgers @ Penn State Nittany Lions Rushing Yards — — — Pending
26 Sep 26 Wisconsin Badgers @ Penn State Nittany Lions Rushing Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Abu Sama III (Wisconsin) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Abu Sama III is Over 40.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.6% on this pick. Their next game is Michigan State Spartans vs Wisconsin Badgers on Saturday 3 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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