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Model picks & player props
NCAAF
Sat 10 Oct 2026, 7:30 PM ET
USC Trojans
VS
Penn State Nittany Lions

USC Trojans vs Penn State Nittany Lions Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 25 markets for USC Trojans vs Penn State Nittany Lions and backs Penn State Nittany Lions 0 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $187.

11
Game markets graded
14
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Penn State Nittany Lions
to win, money back on a draw
Penn State Nittany Lions 0 Spread
You bet$10 If it wins$18.70Best price-115
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win47.4%
The price says50.0%

The model graded 25 markets for USC Trojans vs Penn State Nittany Lions (NCAAF) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $187 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 10 Oct 2026, 7:30 PM ET.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Penn State Nittany Lions 0 Lean47% chance -115
Spread Members only Lean47% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Long-shot38% chance Members
Total Points Members only Lean51% chance Members
Passing Yards × 2 props Highup to 95% Members
Receptions × 2 props Highup to 90% Members
Receiving Yards × 6 props Highup to 79% Members
Rushing Yards × 4 props Highup to 77% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

USC Trojans and Penn State Nittany Lions last met on Sat 10 Oct 2026: USC Trojans won 31-23. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NCAAF game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Penn State Nittany Lions
0
+ 10 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Penn State Nittany LionsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Penn State Nittany LionsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Penn State Nittany LionsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Penn State Nittany LionsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Penn State Nittany LionsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

USC Trojans

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Penn State Nittany Lions

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For USC Trojans vs Penn State Nittany Lions: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and no players are currently listed out or questionable.
FactorThis fixture
AvailabilityNone currently listed out or questionable

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Jayden Maiava USC Passing Yards
Chase Sowell Penn State Receptions
Mark Bowman USC Receiving Yards
Benjamin Brahmer Penn State Receiving Yards
James Peoples Penn State Rushing Yards

+ 14 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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USC Trojans @ Penn State Nittany Lions — what the model found

Our model graded 25 betting markets for USC Trojans at Penn State Nittany Lions — 11 on the game itself and 14 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

11
Game markets graded
14
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 25 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

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USC Trojans @ Penn State Nittany Lions — model preview

Penn State Nittany Lions v USC Trojans, 10 October 2026. Top of the list: Over 54.5 Total Points. Our model likes 6 bets in this game.

On Saturday 10 October 2026, Penn State Nittany Lions play USC Trojans in college football. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 54.5 Total Points, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Over 54.5 Total Points (-110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 10 October 2026, Penn State Nittany Lions host USC Trojans in college football. The bet we are looking at is Over 54.5 Total Points. This wins if the two sides score more than 54.5 points between them. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. That price was showing at MyBookie. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for USC Trojans vs Penn State Nittany Lions in the NCAAF. You may also see this matchup written as Trojans vs Lions, or as Lions vs Trojans. The most recent game between them was Saturday 10 October 2026. The model has generated 11 game picks and 14 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NCAAF betting strategy for this matchup.

USC Trojans vs Penn State Nittany Lions: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 10 Oct 2026USC Trojans beat Penn State Nittany Lions 31-23 on the road

USC Trojans: last 5 results

  1. 14 Nov 2026Lostat Indiana Hoosiers 13-27
  2. 31 Oct 2026Wonvs Ohio State Buckeyes 30-18
  3. 24 Oct 2026Lostat Wisconsin Badgers 7-24
  4. 10 Oct 2026Wonat Penn State Nittany Lions 31-23
  5. 3 Oct 2026Wonvs Washington Huskies 25-21

Penn State Nittany Lions: last 5 results

  1. 7 Nov 2026Wonat Washington Huskies 28-25
  2. 31 Oct 2026Wonvs Purdue Boilermakers 31-17
  3. 17 Oct 2026Lostat Michigan Wolverines 18-21
  4. 10 Oct 2026Lostvs USC Trojans 23-31
  5. 2 Oct 2026Lostat Northwestern Wildcats 13-34

Quick answers

Who won the last Penn State Nittany Lions vs USC Trojans game? USC Trojans won their last meeting 31-23 on 10 October 2026.

How have USC Trojans and Penn State Nittany Lions done lately? USC Trojans won 3 and lost 2 of the last 5 results we hold. Penn State Nittany Lions won 2 and lost 3 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

USC Trojans vs Penn State Nittany Lions: the season so far

From every final score this season

USC Trojans are 7-3 this season and Penn State Nittany Lions are 5-4. Penn State Nittany Lions are 3-2 at home. USC Trojans are 2-2 on the road. Penn State Nittany Lions score 28.9 points a game and let in 19.3. USC Trojans score 30.5 and let in 24.5. Penn State Nittany Lions games have averaged 48 points in total; USC Trojans games have averaged 55.

SeasonUSC TrojansPenn State Nittany Lions
Won-lost7-35-4
At home5-13-2
On the road2-22-2
Points scored a game30.528.9
Points let in a game24.519.3
Points scored at home35.334.8
Points scored away23.321.5
Against winning sides4-32-3
Current runLost 1Won 2
Biggest win39-0 vs Fresno State Bulldogs45-0 vs Marshall Thundering Herd
Heaviest loss24-7 at Wisconsin Badgers34-13 at Northwestern Wildcats

Teams they have both played

  • Against Washington Huskies: Penn State Nittany Lions won 28-25 on the road; USC Trojans won 25-21 at home.
  • Against Wisconsin Badgers: Penn State Nittany Lions lost 20-24 at home; USC Trojans lost 7-24 on the road.

Quick answers

How are Penn State Nittany Lions doing this season? Penn State Nittany Lions are 5-4 this season: 3-2 at home and 2-2 on the road.

How many points do USC Trojans score a game? USC Trojans score 30.5 points a game this season and let in 24.5, across 10 games.

Wins and losses come from the final score, overtime included. “Against winning sides” counts games against teams that have won more than half their games this season.

USC Trojans vs Penn State Nittany Lions head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
USC Trojans 1–0 across the last meeting

Last meeting: Sat 10 Oct 2026, USC Trojans at Penn State Nittany Lions: USC Trojans won 31-23.

DateGameScoreWinner
10 Oct 2026USC Trojans @ Penn State Nittany Lions23–31USC Trojans
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