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NCAAF

Aidan Chiles

Northwestern

Value call

Aidan Chiles (Northwestern) has one live pick today: over 219.5 passing yards that pays $189 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
66 in 100
Predicted
231.4 passing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 66.4% · the book's price implies 52.9% · gap +16.7%.

Latest Model PickFree
Northwestern Wildcats @ Michigan State Spartans
Sat 17 Oct, 12:00 PM ET
Aidan Chiles
over 219.5 passing yards
Passing Yards Over 219.5 -112 (1.89) · $100→$189
Value call
HIGHWins about 66 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.93 Odds-112
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Aidan Chiles is Over 219.5 on Passing Yards.
On Passing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 66 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 66%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 15, 2:00AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf player rush yds unders: 253 of 439 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Passing Yards66.4%—52.9%2.01+16.7%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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Michigan State Spartans vs Northwestern Wildcats: Aidan Chiles Over 219.5 Passing Yards (-112)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 17 October 2026, Michigan State Spartans host Northwestern Wildcats in college football. The bet we are looking at is Aidan Chiles Over 219.5 Passing Yards. This wins if Aidan Chiles finishes with more than 219.5 passing yards. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.93 if it lands. That price was showing at BetOnline. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (37 picks) 73.0% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Aidan Chiles's lines for Sat 17 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Passing Yards 219.5
-112 best over price · 2 books

Aidan Chiles's passing yards line is 219.5, best over price -112 across 2 books.

Rushing Yards 24.5
-111 best over price · 2 books

Aidan Chiles's rushing yards line is 24.5, best over price -111 across 2 books.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
10 Oct 26 Ball State Cardinals @ Northwestern Wildcats Passing TDs 1.5 Under +140 ✗ MISS
10 Oct 26 Ball State Cardinals @ Northwestern Wildcats Completions 14.5 Over -120 ✓ HIT
10 Oct 26 Ball State Cardinals @ Northwestern Wildcats Passing TDs 2.5 Under -192 ✗ MISS
10 Oct 26 Ball State Cardinals @ Northwestern Wildcats Rushing Yards — — — Pending
10 Oct 26 Ball State Cardinals @ Northwestern Wildcats Completions — — — Pending
10 Oct 26 Ball State Cardinals @ Northwestern Wildcats Rushing Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Aidan Chiles (Northwestern) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 73.0% on tracked Aidan Chiles picks. The latest model pick for Aidan Chiles is Over 219.5 on Passing Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.7% on this pick. Their next game is Northwestern Wildcats vs Michigan State Spartans on Saturday 17 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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