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The latest Bet Better model pick for Kawhi Leonard is Under 35.5 on Pts + Asts.
On the Pts + Asts market the model assigns a model win probability of 87%, versus the book's implied 66%, for a model edge of +20.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:07PM UTC
NBA

Kawhi Leonard

LA Clippers

+20.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Asts Under 35.5 -192 (1.52)
+20.7% Edge
Golden State Warriors @ Los Angeles Clippers
Intuit Dome, Inglewood, CA · Indoor
Thu 16 Apr, 2:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
86.5%
Implied Probability
65.8%
Model Edge
+20.7%
Predicted Value
28.5 Pts + Asts

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Asts86.5%—65.8%1.16+20.7%

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AI Analysis

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Kawhi Leonard (LA Clippers) Under 35.5 Points + Assists (-192)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As we gear up for the Clippers' clash with the Warriors, targeting Kawhi Leonard for under 35.5 points and assists feels like a savvy play. Let's face it: Kawhi's recent numbers tell a compelling story. Over his last five games, he's been averaging about 25.6 points and 3.8 assists, which falls well short of that threshold. Even in home games, where you'd expect him to shine, those averages hold steady, suggesting he's not quite the offensive juggernaut we sometimes see.Moreover, the Warriors have proven to be a tough matchup, limiting opponents to an average of 26.8 points and 4.6 assists from the perimeter. Leonard's performance against Golden State has also dipped, with only 22.4 points and 3.8 assists in their recent meetups. With a hit rate of 9 out of his last 10 games landing under the mark, it's clear we have a solid foundation to back this

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
3-Pointers Made2024-25 · formNo line posted
80%hit · L10
2.3avg · last 10
L52.0Szn2.1Home1.9Away2.4Best8
1+91%
2+64%
3+36%
4+16%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 2.3 · hi 4 · lo 1
2241432122

Kawhi Leonard is averaging 2.3 3-pointers made over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 2.1, best 8). He clears 2+ in 64% of 2024-25 games.

Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
4.7avg · last 10
L55.2Szn3.4Home3.2Away3.6Best11
1+95%
3+61%
5+20%
7+9%
Game log vs O 2.5avg 4.7 · hi 11 · lo 2
43725621152

Kawhi Leonard is averaging 4.7 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 3.4, best 11). He clears 3+ in 61% of 2024-25 games.

Blocks2024-25 · formNo line posted
0.5avg · last 10
L50.8Szn0.5Home0.3Away0.7Best3
1+39%
2+9%
3+2%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.5 · hi 2 · lo 0
0000100202

Kawhi Leonard is averaging 0.5 blocks over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 0.5, best 3). He clears 1+ in 39% of 2024-25 games.

Double-Double2024-25 seasonNo line posted
18%double-double rate · 2024-25
L1040%Home22%Away14%
Game log · double-double4 / 10 DD

Kawhi Leonard posted a double-double in 18% of 2024-25 games (4 of his last 10).

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
80%hit · L10
25.8avg · last 10
L522.8Szn22.1Home20.4Away23.9Best45
12+91%
17+84%
22+52%
27+27%
32+9%
Game log vs O 21.5avg 25.8 · hi 39 · lo 20
22283322392124202722

Kawhi Leonard is averaging 25.8 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 22.1, best 45). He clears 22+ in 52% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
80%hit · L10
30.5avg · last 10
L528.0Szn25.5Home23.6Away27.5Best48
15+89%
20+80%
25+52%
30+30%
35+7%
Game log vs O 24.5avg 30.5 · hi 44 · lo 24
26314024442726313224

Kawhi Leonard is averaging 30.5 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 25.5, best 48). He clears 25+ in 52% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
80%hit · L10
38.1avg · last 10
L536.8Szn31.6Home29.7Away33.8Best58
22+89%
27+73%
32+55%
37+34%
42+14%
Game log vs O 31.5avg 38.1 · hi 47 · lo 29
36384630473835404229

Kawhi Leonard is averaging 38.1 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 31.6, best 58). He clears 32+ in 55% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
80%hit · L10
7.6avg · last 10
L58.8Szn6.2Home6.1Away6.3Best17
2+98%
4+84%
6+61%
8+30%
10+16%
Game log vs O 5.5avg 7.6 · hi 11 · lo 3
1076631199105

Kawhi Leonard is averaging 7.6 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 6.2, best 17). He clears 6+ in 61% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
12.3avg · last 10
L514.0Szn9.6Home9.3Away9.9Best25
4+98%
7+84%
10+43%
13+23%
16+7%
Game log vs O 9.5avg 12.3 · hi 20 · lo 7
14101388171120157

Kawhi Leonard is averaging 12.3 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 9.6, best 25). He clears 10+ in 43% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Kawhi Leonard (LA Clippers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kawhi Leonard is Under 35.5 on Pts + Asts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.7% on this pick. Their next game is Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Clippers on Thursday 16 April at Intuit Dome, Inglewood. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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