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The latest Bet Better model pick for Kawhi Leonard is Under 44.5 on Points + Rebounds + Assists.
On the Points + Rebounds + Assists market the model assigns a model win probability of 91%, versus the book's implied 70%, for a model edge of +20.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 7:02AM UTC
NBA

Kawhi Leonard

LA Clippers

+20.6% Edge
🔥 14 Consecutive Hits
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs + Asts Under 44.5 -233 (1.43) · $100→$143
+20.6% Edge
Golden State Warriors @ Los Angeles Clippers
Intuit Dome, Inglewood, CA · Indoor
Thu 16 Apr, 2:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
90.6%
Implied Probability
69.9%
Model Edge
+20.6%
Predicted Value
34.6 Pts + Rebs + Asts

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs + Asts90.6%—69.9%1.10+20.6%

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AI Analysis

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Kawhi Leonard (LA Clippers) Under 44.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-233)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Clippers gear up to face the Warriors, targeting Kawhi Leonard's combined points, rebounds, and assists for under 44.5 feels like a savvy play. Recently, Leonard has been a steady scorer with an average of 25.6 points over his last five outings, but the numbers reveal a trend that suggests he might not hit that lofty total tonight. His contributions in rebounds and assists have been solid but not overwhelming, averaging just 6.4 boards and 3.8 assists.Furthermore, in matchups against the Warriors, he has historically averaged 22.4 points, which is well below our threshold. With a hit rate of 14 for 14 on this under in the last 14 games, plus an impressive 8 for 8 at home, the evidence leans towards a quieter night for Kawhi. Given the Warriors' defensive prowess, betting the under seems like the smart money here.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
3-Pointers Made2024-25 · formNo line posted
80%hit · L10
2.3avg · last 10
L52.0Szn2.1Home1.9Away2.4Best8
1+91%
2+64%
3+36%
4+16%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 2.3 · hi 4 · lo 1
2241432122

Kawhi Leonard is averaging 2.3 3-pointers made over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 2.1, best 8). He clears 2+ in 64% of 2024-25 games.

Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
4.7avg · last 10
L55.2Szn3.4Home3.2Away3.6Best11
1+95%
3+61%
5+20%
7+9%
Game log vs O 2.5avg 4.7 · hi 11 · lo 2
43725621152

Kawhi Leonard is averaging 4.7 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 3.4, best 11). He clears 3+ in 61% of 2024-25 games.

Blocks2024-25 · formNo line posted
0.5avg · last 10
L50.8Szn0.5Home0.3Away0.7Best3
1+39%
2+9%
3+2%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.5 · hi 2 · lo 0
0000100202

Kawhi Leonard is averaging 0.5 blocks over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 0.5, best 3). He clears 1+ in 39% of 2024-25 games.

Double-Double2024-25 seasonNo line posted
18%double-double rate · 2024-25
L1040%Home22%Away14%
Game log · double-double4 / 10 DD

Kawhi Leonard posted a double-double in 18% of 2024-25 games (4 of his last 10).

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
80%hit · L10
25.8avg · last 10
L522.8Szn22.1Home20.4Away23.9Best45
12+91%
17+84%
22+52%
27+27%
32+9%
Game log vs O 21.5avg 25.8 · hi 39 · lo 20
22283322392124202722

Kawhi Leonard is averaging 25.8 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 22.1, best 45). He clears 22+ in 52% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
80%hit · L10
30.5avg · last 10
L528.0Szn25.5Home23.6Away27.5Best48
15+89%
20+80%
25+52%
30+30%
35+7%
Game log vs O 24.5avg 30.5 · hi 44 · lo 24
26314024442726313224

Kawhi Leonard is averaging 30.5 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 25.5, best 48). He clears 25+ in 52% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
80%hit · L10
38.1avg · last 10
L536.8Szn31.6Home29.7Away33.8Best58
22+89%
27+73%
32+55%
37+34%
42+14%
Game log vs O 31.5avg 38.1 · hi 47 · lo 29
36384630473835404229

Kawhi Leonard is averaging 38.1 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 31.6, best 58). He clears 32+ in 55% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
80%hit · L10
7.6avg · last 10
L58.8Szn6.2Home6.1Away6.3Best17
2+98%
4+84%
6+61%
8+30%
10+16%
Game log vs O 5.5avg 7.6 · hi 11 · lo 3
1076631199105

Kawhi Leonard is averaging 7.6 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 6.2, best 17). He clears 6+ in 61% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
12.3avg · last 10
L514.0Szn9.6Home9.3Away9.9Best25
4+98%
7+84%
10+43%
13+23%
16+7%
Game log vs O 9.5avg 12.3 · hi 20 · lo 7
14101388171120157

Kawhi Leonard is averaging 12.3 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 9.6, best 25). He clears 10+ in 43% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Kawhi Leonard (LA Clippers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Kawhi Leonard is currently on a 14-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Kawhi Leonard is Under 44.5 on Points + Rebounds + Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.6% on this pick. Their next game is Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Clippers on Thursday 16 April at Intuit Dome, Inglewood. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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