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Kawhi Leonard

Toronto Raptors

Value call
🔥 5 Consecutive Hits

Kawhi Leonard (Toronto Raptors) has one live pick today: under 24.5 points that pays $198 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
52 in 100
Predicted
22.1 points
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 52.0% · before adjusting for past results 71.9% · the book's price implies 50.5% · gap +1.5%.

Latest Model PickFree
Toronto Raptors @ Minnesota Timberwolves
Target Center, Minneapolis, MN · Indoor
Sun 25 Oct, 7:00 PM ET
Kawhi Leonard
under 24.5 points
Points Under 24.5 -102 (1.98) · $100→$198
Value call
LEANWins about 52 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$19.80 Odds-102
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Kawhi Leonard is Under 24.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 52 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 52%, the price says 51%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 3:29PM UTC
OUT
Leonard is out for Sunday's game against the Timberwolves due to left knee swelling, Blake Murphy of Sportsnet.ca reports.
updated Oct 25, 10:03PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points71.9%52.0%50.5%1.92+21.4%

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AI Analysis

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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Toronto Raptors: Kawhi Leonard Under 24.5 Points (-102)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Kawhi Leonard has been playing well lately, but he may have a tough time against the Minnesota Timberwolves. They are known for giving up a lot of three-point shots, which can lead to lower scoring from players who rely on them. Plus, the Timberwolves also grab a lot of rebounds, so there may be fewer second-chance points available for Kawhi. Betting on him to score under 24.5 points feels like a solid choice. While he has the ability to go off for big games, the Timberwolves' defensive style could limit his chances. The biggest risk here is that Kawhi can be unpredictable, and if he gets hot early, he might exceed this total.

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Pick History & Track Record

Kawhi Leonard — 2024-25 season averages

Over 44 games in the 2024-25 season, Kawhi Leonard averaged 22.1 points, 6.2 rebounds and 3.4 assists in 32.8 minutes per game, shooting 50.4% from the field and 41.0% from three-point range.

22.1
PPG
6.2
RPG
3.4
APG
1.5
SPG
0.5
BPG
32.8
MPG
50.4%
FG%
41.0%
3P%

Kawhi Leonard — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Kawhi Leonard has played 36.8 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

36.8
MPG (L5)
22.8
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Kawhi Leonard — points hit rate

Kawhi Leonard has scored over 20.5 points in 43% of 744 career games.

o11.578%
o12.574%
o15.563%
o20.543%
o25.526%
o30.513%

Kawhi Leonard — home vs away scoring

At home Kawhi Leonard averages 20.4 points per game; on the road, 23.9. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

20.4
PPG at home
23.9
PPG on the road

Kawhi Leonard — scoring by opponent

Kawhi Leonard scores most against the PHI, averaging 30.2 points per game in that matchup.

30.2
PHI
27.9
WSH
27.8
SAC
27.6
DAL
27.4
GS
27.1
BKN

Kawhi Leonard — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Kawhi Leonard has averaged 25.8 points, 7.6 rebounds and 4.7 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
3 May@ DEN332252
1 Mayvs DEN3927105
29 Apr@ DEN3720911
26 Aprvs DEN402492
24 Aprvs DEN3521116
21 Apr@ DEN393935
19 Apr@ DEN412262
13 Apr@ GS473367
11 Apr@ SAC422873
9 Aprvs HOU3822104
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Kawhi Leonard (Toronto Raptors) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Kawhi Leonard is currently on a 5-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Kawhi Leonard is Under 24.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.4% on this pick. Their next game is Toronto Raptors vs Minnesota Timberwolves on Sunday 25 October at Target Center, Minneapolis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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