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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Ousmane Dieng is Under 11.5 on Rebs + Asts.
On the Rebs + Asts market the model assigns a model win probability of 84%, versus the book's implied 49%, for a model edge of +34.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:18PM UTC
NBA

Ousmane Dieng

Milwaukee Bucks

+34.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Rebs + Asts Under 11.5 +104 (2.04)
+34.8% Edge
Milwaukee Bucks @ Brooklyn Nets
Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY · Indoor
Tue 7 Apr, 11:30PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Model Probability
83.9%
Implied Probability
49.0%
Model Edge
+34.8%
Predicted Value
8.2 Rebs + Asts

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rebs + Asts83.9%49.0%1.19+34.8%

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AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Ousmane Dieng (Milwaukee Bucks) Under 11.5 Rebounds + Assists (+104)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As Ousmane Dieng steps onto the court in Milwaukee, the spotlight may be on the Bucks, but the numbers suggest a quieter night for the young guard. Averaging just over 8 rebounds and assists combined, the under 11.5 line feels like a sweet spot, especially considering his recent performance trends. In his last 20 games, he's only eclipsed this mark 14 times, which drops to an impressive 17 out of 20 when he's on the road-indicating a struggle to impact games away from home. Facing a formidable Nets defense, which has tightened up under pressure, Dieng could find himself limited in both rebounding and playmaking opportunities. With an expected stat value of just 8.22, it's hard to envision him breaking through that 11.5 threshold tonight. This matchup paints a picture of a player who might just fall short, making the under a savvy play.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
3-Pointers Made2024-25 · formNo line posted
0.7avg · last 10
L50.0Szn0.6Home0.6Away0.6Best4
1+39%
2+13%
3+5%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.7 · hi 4 · lo 0
1011400000

Ousmane Dieng is averaging 0.7 3-pointers made over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 0.6, best 4). He clears 1+ in 39% of 2024-25 games.

Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
0.5avg · last 10
L50.4Szn0.8Home1.0Away0.5Best9
1+53%
3+8%
5+3%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.5 · hi 1 · lo 0
0110101001

Ousmane Dieng is averaging 0.5 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 0.8, best 9). He clears 1+ in 53% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
3.7avg · last 10
L50.8Szn3.8Home3.7Away3.9Best22
4+39%
9+11%
14+5%
Game log vs O 3.5avg 3.7 · hi 16 · lo 0
50751600202

Ousmane Dieng is averaging 3.7 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 3.8, best 22). He clears 4+ in 39% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
4.2avg · last 10
L51.2Szn4.6Home4.7Away4.5Best31
5+39%
10+11%
15+5%
Game log vs O 4.5avg 4.2 · hi 17 · lo 0
51851701203

Ousmane Dieng is averaging 4.2 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 4.6, best 31). He clears 5+ in 39% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
5.2avg · last 10
L51.6Szn6.0Home6.0Away5.9Best30
1+95%
6+39%
11+16%
16+5%
Game log vs O 5.5avg 5.2 · hi 22 · lo 0
52962201304

Ousmane Dieng is averaging 5.2 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 6.0, best 30). He clears 6+ in 39% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
5.7avg · last 10
L52.0Szn6.8Home7.1Away6.4Best39
2+84%
7+34%
12+18%
17+8%
Game log vs O 6.5avg 5.7 · hi 23 · lo 0
531062302305

Ousmane Dieng is averaging 5.7 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 6.8, best 39). He clears 7+ in 34% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
1.5avg · last 10
L50.8Szn2.2Home2.3Away1.9Best8
2+53%
4+21%
6+8%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 1.5 · hi 6 · lo 0
0221601102

Ousmane Dieng is averaging 1.5 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 2.2, best 8). He clears 2+ in 53% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
2.0avg · last 10
L51.2Szn3.0Home3.4Away2.5Best17
3+45%
6+21%
9+3%
Game log vs O 2.5avg 2 · hi 7 · lo 0
0331702103

Ousmane Dieng is averaging 2.0 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 3.0, best 17). He clears 3+ in 45% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
07 Apr 26 Milwaukee Bucks @ Brooklyn Nets Rebs + Asts 11.5 Under +104 ✓ HIT
07 Apr 26 Milwaukee Bucks @ Brooklyn Nets Pts + Rebs + Asts 30.5 Under -108 ✓ HIT
07 Apr 26 Milwaukee Bucks @ Brooklyn Nets Pts + Rebs 24.5 Under -110 ✓ HIT
07 Apr 26 Milwaukee Bucks @ Brooklyn Nets Rebounds Pending
07 Apr 26 Milwaukee Bucks @ Brooklyn Nets Pts + Rebs Pending
07 Apr 26 Milwaukee Bucks @ Brooklyn Nets Pts + Asts Pending

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About This Player

Ousmane Dieng (Milwaukee Bucks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ousmane Dieng is Under 11.5 on Rebs + Asts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +34.8% on this pick. Their next game is Milwaukee Bucks vs Brooklyn Nets on Tuesday 7 April at Barclays Center, Brooklyn. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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