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The latest Bet Better model pick for Ochai Agbaji is Under 1.5 on 3-Pointers.
On the 3-Pointers market the model assigns a model win probability of 83%, versus the book's implied 67%, for a model edge of +15.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 22, 2:04AM UTC
NBA

Ochai Agbaji

Brooklyn Nets

+15.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
3-Pointers Under 1.5 -204 (1.49)
+15.6% Edge
Brooklyn Nets @ Sacramento Kings
Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA · Indoor
Sun 22 Mar, 10:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Model Probability
82.8%
Implied Probability
67.1%
Model Edge
+15.6%
Predicted Value
0.7 3-Pointers

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
3-Pointers82.8%—67.1%1.21+15.6%

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AI Analysis

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Ochai Agbaji (Brooklyn Nets) Under 1.5 Threes Made (-204)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Brooklyn Nets gear up to face the Sacramento Kings, all eyes will be on Ochai Agbaji's three-point shooting. While his recent form shows promise, with an average of 1.4 threes made over his last five games, his away performance tells a different story. On the road, Agbaji has only managed to hit 0.8 threes per game lately. Against Sacramento, he's slightly better, hitting 1.5 threes in his last away matchup, but that's still below our target of 1.5 for today. Coupled with the Kings' defense, which has been solid against perimeter shooters, it's hard to ignore the numbers. His hit rate over the last three away games might look good, but the matchup favors us taking the under here. Expect him to struggle to find his rhythm on the road in this one.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
3-Pointers Made2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
2.0avg · last 10
L52.8Szn1.6Home1.3Away1.8Best6
1+77%
2+45%
3+22%
4+8%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 2 · hi 6 · lo 0
2101213262

Ochai Agbaji is averaging 2.0 3-pointers made over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.6, best 6). He clears 2+ in 45% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Ochai Agbaji (Brooklyn Nets) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ochai Agbaji is Under 1.5 on 3-Pointers. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.6% on this pick. Their next game is Brooklyn Nets vs Sacramento Kings on Sunday 22 March at Golden 1 Center, Sacramento. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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