Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Today's bets are live / Top performing picks daily / Tracked in public — wins & losses
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Ochai Agbaji is Under 1.5 on 3-Pointers.
On the 3-Pointers market the model assigns a model win probability of 83%, versus the book's implied 67%, for a model edge of +15.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 7:01AM UTC
NBA

Ochai Agbaji

Brooklyn Nets

+15.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
3-Pointers Under 1.5 -204 (1.49) · $100→$149
+15.6% Edge
Brooklyn Nets @ Sacramento Kings
Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA · Indoor
Sun 22 Mar, 10:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
82.8%
Implied Probability
67.1%
Model Edge
+15.6%
Predicted Value
0.7 3-Pointers

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
3-Pointers82.8%67.1%1.21+15.6%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Ochai Agbaji (Brooklyn Nets) Under 1.5 Threes Made (-204)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Brooklyn Nets step onto the court against the Sacramento Kings, all eyes will be on Ochai Agbaji, but betting on him to hit more than 1.5 threes feels risky. While he's been consistent, averaging 1.4 threes in his last five games, that number dips to a mere 0.8 when playing away from home. The Kings are no slouches defensively, and their perimeter defense could stifle Agbaji's rhythm. Despite having an average of 1.8 threes against them historically, he's managed just 1.5 when on the road. His recent form shows a perfect 3/3 hit rate, but with an expected stat value of only 0.75 and an implied probability suggesting a strong chance to fall under 1.5, this matchup seems set for a quieter night for Agbaji. Target the Under; it's a safer bet in what promises to be a tightly contested game.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
3-Pointers Made2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
2.0avg · last 10
L52.8Szn1.6Home1.3Away1.8Best6
1+77%
2+45%
3+22%
4+8%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 2 · hi 6 · lo 0
2101213262

Ochai Agbaji is averaging 2.0 3-pointers made over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.6, best 6). He clears 2+ in 45% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Ochai Agbaji (Brooklyn Nets) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ochai Agbaji is Under 1.5 on 3-Pointers. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.6% on this pick. Their next game is Brooklyn Nets vs Sacramento Kings on Sunday 22 March at Golden 1 Center, Sacramento. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.