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The latest Bet Better model pick for Kris Dunn is Under 11.5 on Pts + Rebs.
On the Pts + Rebs market the model assigns a model win probability of 67%, versus the book's implied 57%, for a model edge of +10.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:14AM UTC
NBA

Kris Dunn

LA Clippers

+10.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Under 11.5 -132 (1.76)
+10.3% Edge
Los Angeles Clippers @ New Orleans Pelicans
Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, LA · Indoor
Thu 19 Mar, 12:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
67.1%
Implied Probability
56.8%
Model Edge
+10.3%
Predicted Value
8.4 Pts + Rebs

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs67.1%—56.8%1.49+10.3%

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AI Analysis

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Kris Dunn (LA Clippers) Under 11.5 Points + Rebounds (-132)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Pelicans gear up to face the Clippers, Kris Dunn's recent performance suggests that we're wise to lean towards the under on his combined points and rebounds total of 11.5. Over his last five games, Dunn has only averaged 5.8 points and 3 rebounds, far below our target. The numbers tell a story: at home, he's seen a slight uptick to 7.4 points but still struggles to hit double digits in total stats, averaging just 9.8 against the Clippers in their last few matchups. Moreover, the Clippers' defense has been particularly effective, limiting opponents to an average of 8.8 points and 2.2 rebounds against guards in away games. With Dunn's overall hit rate standing at 75% for the last four games on this under, it feels like a savvy play to expect him to fall short of that 11.5 mark come game time.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
1.8avg · last 10
L51.2Szn2.7Home2.5Away3.0Best17
1+88%
3+46%
5+20%
7+4%
Game log vs O 2.5avg 1.8 · hi 6 · lo 0
3061201221

Kris Dunn is averaging 1.8 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 2.7, best 17). He clears 3+ in 46% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
6.8avg · last 10
L55.8Szn6.4Home5.9Away6.9Best26
1+93%
6+56%
11+22%
Game log vs O 5.5avg 6.8 · hi 15 · lo 2
9411105631523

Kris Dunn is averaging 6.8 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 6.4, best 26). He clears 6+ in 56% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
8.6avg · last 10
L57.0Szn9.1Home8.4Away9.8Best39
4+85%
9+52%
14+20%
19+5%
Game log vs O 8.5avg 8.6 · hi 17 · lo 4
12417117641744

Kris Dunn is averaging 8.6 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 9.1, best 39). He clears 9+ in 52% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
9.7avg · last 10
L58.8Szn9.8Home9.1Away10.5Best36
5+80%
10+52%
15+19%
20+2%
Game log vs O 9.5avg 9.7 · hi 15 · lo 2
1161213111491524

Kris Dunn is averaging 9.7 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 9.8, best 36). He clears 10+ in 52% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
11.5avg · last 10
L510.0Szn12.5Home11.6Away13.4Best45
2+100%
7+81%
12+53%
17+28%
22+6%
Game log vs O 11.5avg 11.5 · hi 18 · lo 4
14618141314101745

Kris Dunn is averaging 11.5 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 12.5, best 45). He clears 12+ in 53% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
2.9avg · last 10
L53.0Szn3.4Home3.2Away3.6Best10
1+95%
3+62%
5+25%
7+11%
Game log vs O 2.5avg 2.9 · hi 8 · lo 0
2213686001

Kris Dunn is averaging 2.9 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 3.4, best 10). He clears 3+ in 62% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
4.7avg · last 10
L54.2Szn6.1Home5.7Away6.5Best22
3+88%
6+56%
9+19%
12+9%
Game log vs O 5.5avg 4.7 · hi 8 · lo 2
5274887222

Kris Dunn is averaging 4.7 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 6.1, best 22). He clears 6+ in 56% of 2024-25 games.

Steals2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
1.4avg · last 10
L50.8Szn1.7Home1.4Away1.9Best6
1+77%
2+48%
3+27%
4+10%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 1.4 · hi 3 · lo 0
3031300202

Kris Dunn is averaging 1.4 steals over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.7, best 6). He clears 2+ in 48% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Kris Dunn (LA Clippers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kris Dunn is Under 11.5 on Pts + Rebs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.3% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Clippers vs New Orleans Pelicans on Thursday 19 March at Smoothie King Center, New Orleans. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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