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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Darius Garland is Under 3.5 on 3-Pointers.
On 3-Pointers, our numbers say this bet wins about 68 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 68%, implied 56%, edge +11.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 7:13PM UTC
NBA

Darius Garland

LA Clippers

+11.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
3-Pointers Under 3.5 -130 (1.77) · $100→$177
+11.9% Edge
Milwaukee Bucks @ Los Angeles Clippers
Intuit Dome, Inglewood, CA · Indoor
Tue 24 Mar, 2:30AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
68 in 100
Predicted
2.8 3-Pointers
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 68.4% · the book's price implies 56.5% · gap +11.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
3-Pointers68.4%56.5%1.46+11.9%

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AI Analysis

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Darius Garland (LA Clippers) Under 3.5 Threes Made (-130)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Clippers prepare to host the Bucks, all eyes will be on Darius Garland's three-point shooting. While he's been a reliable shooter lately, averaging 4.6 threes in his last five games, the matchup against Milwaukee tells a different story. Historically, he's managed just 2.8 threes against the Bucks, a team that's been tough on perimeter shooters. Garland's numbers show a dip when playing away, with an average of 4.2 threes, but in this game, the Clippers' offensive scheme could limit his opportunities. With the Bucks likely to apply pressure and focus on shutting down his perimeter game, betting the Under on 3.5 threes made feels like a savvy play. Given his overall hit rate of 65% over the last 20 games, it's clear Garland is capable, but this matchup might have him closer to that expected stat value of 2.83, making the Under a smart move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Darius Garland — 2024-25 season averages

Over 81 games in the 2024-25 season, Darius Garland averaged 20.2 points, 2.8 rebounds and 6.6 assists in 30.3 minutes per game, shooting 46.9% from the field and 39.5% from three-point range.

20.2
PPG
2.8
RPG
6.6
APG
1.2
SPG
0.1
BPG
30.3
MPG
46.9%
FG%
39.5%
3P%

Darius Garland — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Darius Garland has played 29.6 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

29.6
MPG (L5)
18.0
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Darius Garland — points hit rate

Darius Garland has scored over 15.5 points in 53% of 177 career games.

o11.574%
o12.568%
o15.553%
o20.528%
o25.510%

Darius Garland — home vs away scoring

At home Darius Garland averages 21.1 points per game; on the road, 19.4. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

21.1
PPG at home
19.4
PPG on the road

Darius Garland — scoring by opponent

Darius Garland scores most against the MIN, averaging 22.3 points per game in that matchup.

22.3
MIN
21.3
CHA
20.9
BKN
20.8
ATL
20.5
GS
20.1
OKC

Darius Garland — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Darius Garland has averaged 18.9 points, 2.4 rebounds and 6.4 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
13 Mayvs IND331143
11 May@ IND272116
9 May@ IND251013
23 Aprvs MIA322129
20 Aprvs MIA312735
11 Apr@ NY3326213
8 Aprvs CHI292825
6 Aprvs SAC32937
4 Apr@ SA341927
2 Aprvs NY321746
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Dec 25 Charlotte Hornets @ Cleveland Cavaliers Rebs + Asts 8.5 Over -147 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Darius Garland (LA Clippers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Darius Garland is Under 3.5 on 3-Pointers. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.9% on this pick. Their next game is Milwaukee Bucks vs Los Angeles Clippers on Tuesday 24 March at Intuit Dome, Inglewood. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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