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Darius Garland

LA Clippers

Value call

Darius Garland (LA Clippers) has one live pick today: under 3.5 threes that pays $170 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
72 in 100
Predicted
2.7 threes
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 71.7% · the book's price implies 58.8% · gap +12.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Milwaukee Bucks @ Los Angeles Clippers
Intuit Dome, Inglewood, CA · Indoor
Mon 23 Mar, 10:30 PM ET
Darius Garland
under 3.5 threes
3-Pointers Under 3.5 -143 (1.70) · $100→$170
Value call
HIGHWins about 72 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$17.00 Odds-143
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Darius Garland is Under 3.5 on 3-Pointers.
On 3-Pointers, our numbers say this bet wins about 72 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 72%, the price says 59%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 6:52AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
3-Pointers71.7%—58.8%1.39+12.9%

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AI Analysis

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Darius Garland (LA Clippers) Under 3.5 Threes Made (-143)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Clippers gear up to face the Bucks, all eyes will be on Darius Garland and his three-point shooting. While Garland has been solid lately, averaging 4.6 threes over his last five games, the matchup paints a different picture. Historically, he's only managed to drain an average of 2.8 threes against the Bucks, a team that excels at closing out on shooters. The defensive pressure Milwaukee brings could stifle his attempts, especially on the road, where Garland's average dips to 4.2. Given that he's only hit the over on this number in 65% of his last 20 games, it feels prudent to lean towards the under here. With an expected stat value of just 2.68 threes against a tough Bucks defense, there's a strong narrative supporting the idea that Garland will struggle to find his rhythm in this one. Taking the under at 3.5 threes seems like a smart play.

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Pick History & Track Record

Darius Garland — 2024-25 season averages

Over 81 games in the 2024-25 season, Darius Garland averaged 20.2 points, 2.8 rebounds and 6.6 assists in 30.3 minutes per game, shooting 46.9% from the field and 39.5% from three-point range.

20.2
PPG
2.8
RPG
6.6
APG
1.2
SPG
0.1
BPG
30.3
MPG
46.9%
FG%
39.5%
3P%

Darius Garland — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Darius Garland has played 29.6 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

29.6
MPG (L5)
18.0
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Darius Garland — points hit rate

Darius Garland has scored over 15.5 points in 53% of 177 career games.

o11.574%
o12.568%
o15.553%
o20.528%
o25.510%

Darius Garland — home vs away scoring

At home Darius Garland averages 21.1 points per game; on the road, 19.4. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

21.1
PPG at home
19.4
PPG on the road

Darius Garland — scoring by opponent

Darius Garland scores most against the MIN, averaging 22.3 points per game in that matchup.

22.3
MIN
21.3
CHA
20.9
BKN
20.8
ATL
20.5
GS
20.1
OKC

Darius Garland — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Darius Garland has averaged 18.9 points, 2.4 rebounds and 6.4 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
13 Mayvs IND331143
11 May@ IND272116
9 May@ IND251013
23 Aprvs MIA322129
20 Aprvs MIA312735
11 Apr@ NY3326213
8 Aprvs CHI292825
6 Aprvs SAC32937
4 Apr@ SA341927
2 Aprvs NY321746
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Dec 25 Charlotte Hornets @ Cleveland Cavaliers Rebs + Asts 8.5 Over -147 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Darius Garland (LA Clippers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Darius Garland is Under 3.5 on 3-Pointers. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.9% on this pick. Their next game is Milwaukee Bucks vs Los Angeles Clippers on Monday 23 March at Intuit Dome, Inglewood. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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