Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Today's bets are live / Top performing picks daily / Tracked in public — wins & losses
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for John Konchar is Under 6.5 on Rebounds.
On the Rebounds market the model assigns a model win probability of 69%, versus the book's implied 59%, for a model edge of +10.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 7:13AM UTC
NBA

John Konchar

Utah Jazz

+10.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Rebounds Under 6.5 -143 (1.70) · $100→$170
+10.5% Edge
Utah Jazz @ Oklahoma City Thunder
Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK · Indoor
Sun 5 Apr, 11:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
69.3%
Implied Probability
58.8%
Model Edge
+10.5%
Predicted Value
5.3 Rebounds

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rebounds69.3%58.8%1.44+10.5%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

John Konchar (Utah Jazz) Under 6.5 Rebounds (-143)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When it comes to John Konchar's rebounding in the upcoming matchup against the Thunder, the numbers suggest we should lean toward the under 6.5. Playing away, Konchar's rebounding average dips to about 4.8, showcasing a noticeable struggle to snag boards on the road. His recent performance against the Jazz further supports this narrative, with just 3.2 rebounds per game over their last five encounters.In fact, Konchar has hit the under in 14 of his last 18 games, and his away hit rate is a staggering 9 out of 10. With an expected stat value hovering around 5.27, it becomes clear that hitting the under is not just a gamble; it's backed by a solid track record. As the Jazz tighten up their defense, targeting Konchar for less than 6.5 rebounds feels like a smart play.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

John Konchar — 2024-25 season averages

Over 52 games in the 2024-25 season, John Konchar averaged 2.6 points, 3.4 rebounds and 1.0 assists in 12.8 minutes per game, shooting 45.8% from the field and 35.2% from three-point range.

2.6
PPG
3.4
RPG
1.0
APG
0.6
SPG
0.3
BPG
12.8
MPG
45.8%
FG%
35.2%
3P%

John Konchar — recent role

Across his last 5 games, John Konchar has played 18.4 minutes per game and started 0% of them.

18.4
MPG (L5)
3.2
PPG (L5)
0%
Started

John Konchar — home vs away scoring

At home John Konchar averages 2.5 points per game; on the road, 2.7. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

2.5
PPG at home
2.7
PPG on the road

John Konchar — scoring by opponent

John Konchar scores most against the ATL, averaging 6.0 points per game in that matchup.

6.0
ATL
5.7
SAC
5.0
CHA
4.9
OKC
4.2
PHX
4.1
HOU

John Konchar — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, John Konchar has averaged 3.2 points, 3.7 rebounds and 1.2 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
26 Aprvs OKC16462
24 Aprvs OKC17521
22 Apr@ OKC10021
20 Apr@ OKC25232
18 Aprvs DAL24582
15 Apr@ GS13630
13 Aprvs DAL21273
11 Apr@ DEN7530
10 Aprvs MIN7320
8 Apr@ CHA11011
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Mar 26 New Orleans Pelicans @ Utah Jazz Pts + Asts 8.5 Under -128 ✓ HIT
01 Mar 26 New Orleans Pelicans @ Utah Jazz Assists 2.5 Under -172 ✓ HIT

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

John Konchar (Utah Jazz) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for John Konchar is Under 6.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.5% on this pick. Their next game is Utah Jazz vs Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday 5 April at Paycom Center, Oklahoma City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.