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The latest Bet Better model pick for John Konchar is Under 6.5 on Rebounds.
On the Rebounds market the model assigns a model win probability of 69%, versus the book's implied 57%, for a model edge of +11.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:14AM UTC
NBA

John Konchar

Utah Jazz

+11.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Rebounds Under 6.5 -135 (1.74)
+11.9% Edge
Utah Jazz @ Oklahoma City Thunder
Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK · Indoor
Sun 5 Apr, 11:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
69.3%
Implied Probability
57.5%
Model Edge
+11.9%
Predicted Value
5.3 Rebounds

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rebounds69.3%—57.5%1.44+11.9%

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AI Analysis

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John Konchar (Utah Jazz) Under 6.5 Rebounds (-135)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Utah Jazz gear up to face the Oklahoma City Thunder, all eyes should be on John Konchar's rebounding performance. With the line set at 6.5, there's strong reason to believe he'll fall short. Over the last five games, he's averaged only 6 rebounds overall and a mere 4.8 in away contests. This trend is even more pronounced against the Jazz, where he's managed just 3.2 boards on average in their last matchups.When you consider his impressive hit rate of 14 out of 18 games hitting the under, it becomes clear that Konchar's rebounding ceiling is limited-especially on the road. With an expected stat value of just 5.27 and having hit the under in 9 of his last 10 away games, this bet feels like a smart play. The numbers don't lie; under 6.5 rebounds for Konchar is a compelling choice as he heads into a tough matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 8 of last 10(80%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
1.2avg · last 10
L51.6Szn1.0Home0.9Away1.0Best10
1+52%
3+10%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 1.2 · hi 3 · lo 0
1003022112

John Konchar is averaging 1.2 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.0, best 10). He clears 1+ in 52% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
3.2avg · last 10
L53.2Szn2.6Home2.5Away2.7Best19
3+48%
8+6%
Game log vs O 2.5avg 3.2 · hi 6 · lo 0
0352652054

John Konchar is averaging 3.2 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 2.6, best 19). He clears 3+ in 48% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
4.4avg · last 10
L54.8Szn3.5Home3.4Away3.7Best27
4+44%
9+13%
Game log vs O 3.5avg 4.4 · hi 7 · lo 1
1355674166

John Konchar is averaging 4.4 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 3.5, best 27). He clears 4+ in 44% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
6.9avg · last 10
L57.4Szn5.9Home5.3Away6.5Best32
1+90%
6+42%
11+17%
16+8%
Game log vs O 5.5avg 6.9 · hi 13 · lo 1
158991352710

John Konchar is averaging 6.9 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 5.9, best 32). He clears 6+ in 42% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
8.1avg · last 10
L59.0Szn6.9Home6.3Away7.5Best40
2+81%
7+42%
12+21%
17+12%
Game log vs O 6.5avg 8.1 · hi 15 · lo 2
2581291573812

John Konchar is averaging 8.1 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 6.9, best 40). He clears 7+ in 42% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
3.7avg · last 10
L54.2Szn3.4Home2.8Away3.9Best17
1+85%
3+50%
5+25%
7+15%
Game log vs O 2.5avg 3.7 · hi 8 · lo 1
1237383226

John Konchar is averaging 3.7 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 3.4, best 17). He clears 3+ in 50% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Apr 26 Utah Jazz @ Oklahoma City Thunder Rebounds 6.5 Under -135 ✗ MISS
04 Apr 26 Utah Jazz @ Houston Rockets Rebounds 6.5 Under -149 ✓ HIT
26 Mar 26 Washington Wizards @ Utah Jazz Rebounds 4.5 Under +116 ✓ HIT
26 Mar 26 Washington Wizards @ Utah Jazz Rebounds — — — Pending
26 Mar 26 Washington Wizards @ Utah Jazz Rebounds — — — Pending
26 Mar 26 Washington Wizards @ Utah Jazz Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending

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About This Player

John Konchar (Utah Jazz) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for John Konchar is Under 6.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.9% on this pick. Their next game is Utah Jazz vs Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday 5 April at Paycom Center, Oklahoma City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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