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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jericho Sims is Under 8.5 on Points.
On the Points market the model assigns a model win probability of 73%, versus the book's implied 52%, for a model edge of +20.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 8:07PM UTC
NBA

Jericho Sims

Milwaukee Bucks

+20.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Points Under 8.5 -108 (1.93)
+20.9% Edge
Milwaukee Bucks @ Brooklyn Nets
Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY · Indoor
Tue 7 Apr, 11:30PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
72.7%
Implied Probability
51.8%
Model Edge
+20.9%
Predicted Value
5.0 Points

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points72.7%—51.8%1.37+20.9%

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AI Analysis

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Jericho Sims (Milwaukee Bucks) Under 8.5 Points (-108)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Nets gear up to host the Bucks, Jericho Sims' scoring potential seems limited, making the under 8.5 points an intriguing wager. In his last five outings, he's averaged a modest 7 points overall, but that dips to just 5.8 when he's on the road. The matchup against Milwaukee, a team known for its defensive prowess, further complicates things. Sims has managed a mere 3.4 points against the Bucks in their previous encounters, and only 6.4 in away games against them. His recent form is telling, too; over his last 20 games, he's hit the under 80% of the time, and that trend sharpens to 90% on the road. Given his expected stat value of just 4.99 and the implied probability of him hitting the under at 51.8%, it looks like a wise move to bank on Sims falling short of that 8.5 threshold tonight.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
2.4avg · last 10
L52.8Szn1.9Home2.0Away1.8Best12
2+50%
7+5%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 2.4 · hi 6 · lo 0
0640000464

Jericho Sims is averaging 2.4 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.9, best 12). He clears 2+ in 50% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
7.3avg · last 10
L56.8Szn5.7Home5.9Away5.4Best24
1+88%
6+40%
11+19%
16+3%
Game log vs O 5.5avg 7.3 · hi 15 · lo 1
1091514221299

Jericho Sims is averaging 7.3 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 5.7, best 24). He clears 6+ in 40% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
4.9avg · last 10
L54.0Szn3.7Home3.9Away3.6Best14
2+72%
4+43%
6+26%
8+16%
Game log vs O 3.5avg 4.9 · hi 11 · lo 1
103111422835

Jericho Sims is averaging 4.9 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 3.7, best 14). He clears 4+ in 43% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
07 Apr 26 Milwaukee Bucks @ Brooklyn Nets Points 8.5 Under -108 ✗ MISS
07 Apr 26 Milwaukee Bucks @ Brooklyn Nets Pts + Rebs 18.5 Under -108 ✗ MISS
07 Apr 26 Milwaukee Bucks @ Brooklyn Nets Rebounds 8.5 Under -104 ✓ HIT
07 Apr 26 Milwaukee Bucks @ Brooklyn Nets Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
07 Apr 26 Milwaukee Bucks @ Brooklyn Nets Points — — — Pending
07 Apr 26 Milwaukee Bucks @ Brooklyn Nets Pts + Rebs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jericho Sims (Milwaukee Bucks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jericho Sims is Under 8.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.9% on this pick. Their next game is Milwaukee Bucks vs Brooklyn Nets on Tuesday 7 April at Barclays Center, Brooklyn. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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