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NBA

Jakob Poeltl

Toronto Raptors

+15.9% Edge
Latest Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 19.5 +177 (2.77)
+15.9% Edge
Toronto Raptors @ Boston Celtics
TD Garden, Boston
Sun 5 Apr, 7:30PM
Model Probability
52.0%
Implied Probability
36.1%
Model Edge
+15.9%
Predicted Value
19.8 Pts + Rebs

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Jakob Poeltl (Toronto Raptors) Over 19.5 Points + Rebounds (+177)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Raptors gear up to face the Celtics, Jakob Poeltl stands out for a player prop worth considering. While his recent averages of 13.6 points and 6.8 rebounds may not scream "star," the matchup against Boston could be a game-changer. Historically, Poeltl has found success against the Celtics, averaging 16 points and nearly 10 rebounds per game in their last five encounters. When playing away, he typically steps up, with averages of 10.8 points and 5.6 rebounds-numbers that don't fully capture his potential in this scenario.With an expected stat value of 19.84, Poeltl is primed for a strong performance. The Celtics' frontcourt can be vulnerable, allowing him to exploit mismatches and grab crucial boards. Given his solid hit rate of 8 out of the last 19 away games, taking the over on 19.5 points and rebounds feels like a savvy move in this contest.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (7 picks) 42.9% (3/7)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Apr 26 Toronto Raptors @ Boston Celtics Pts + Rebs 19.5 Over +177 ✗ MISS
05 Apr 26 Toronto Raptors @ Boston Celtics Pts + Rebs 16.5 Over -114 ✗ MISS
19 Mar 26 Toronto Raptors @ Chicago Bulls Pts + Rebs + Asts 22.5 Over -125 ✓ HIT
15 Mar 26 Detroit Pistons @ Toronto Raptors Assists Pending
13 Mar 26 Phoenix Suns @ Toronto Raptors Pts + Rebs Pending
12 Mar 26 Toronto Raptors @ New Orleans Pelicans Pts + Rebs Pending

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About This Player

Jakob Poeltl (Toronto Raptors) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 7 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 42.9% (3/7). The latest model pick for Jakob Poeltl is Over 19.5 on Pts + Rebs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.9% on this pick. Their next game is Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics on Sunday 5 April at TD Garden, Boston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.