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NBA

Jakob Poeltl

Toronto Raptors

Value call
🔥 9 Consecutive Hits

Jakob Poeltl (Toronto Raptors) has one live pick today: under 9.5 rebounds that pays $128 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
91 in 100
Predicted
6.2 rebounds
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 91.3% · the book's price implies 78.1% · gap +13.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
Toronto Raptors @ Cleveland Cavaliers
Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland, OH · Indoor
Sat 18 Apr, 1:00 PM ET
Jakob Poeltl
under 9.5 rebounds
Rebounds Under 9.5 -357 (1.28) · $100→$128
Value call
HIGHWins about 91 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$12.80 Odds-357
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jakob Poeltl is Under 9.5 on Rebounds.
On Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 91 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 91%, the price says 78%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 6:54AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rebounds91.3%—78.1%1.10+13.2%

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AI Analysis

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Jakob Poeltl (Toronto Raptors) Under 9.5 Rebounds (-357)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Toronto Raptors head to Cleveland, all eyes should be on Jakob Poeltl's rebounding numbers, particularly the under on his total of 9.5. While Poeltl has shown flashes of excellence, recent trends suggest he's likely to fall short of that mark. Averaging just 3.6 rebounds in his last five games, and 4.4 on the road, it's clear he's struggled to dominate the boards lately. Even against the Cavaliers, where he averaged 11 rebounds in previous matchups, the landscape has shifted. His performance has been stellar in the past, but a perfect hit rate of 9-for-9 in his last games indicates a steep drop-off.With a projected stat value of just 6.2, the numbers paint a clear picture: Poeltl is unlikely to reach that 9.5 threshold. Given that he's hit the under in six straight away games, backing this play feels like a savvy move for bettors.

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Pick History & Track Record

Jakob Poeltl — 2024-25 season averages

Over 57 games in the 2024-25 season, Jakob Poeltl averaged 14.5 points, 9.6 rebounds and 2.8 assists in 29.6 minutes per game, shooting 62.7% from the field and 33.3% from three-point range.

14.5
PPG
9.6
RPG
2.8
APG
1.2
SPG
1.2
BPG
29.6
MPG
62.7%
FG%
33.3%
3P%

Jakob Poeltl — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Jakob Poeltl has played 27.0 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

27.0
MPG (L5)
17.0
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Jakob Poeltl — home vs away scoring

At home Jakob Poeltl averages 15.0 points per game; on the road, 13.9. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

15.0
PPG at home
13.9
PPG on the road

Jakob Poeltl — scoring by opponent

Jakob Poeltl scores most against the IND, averaging 14.6 points per game in that matchup.

14.6
IND
13.1
WSH
12.9
CHI
11.5
PHI
11.2
POR
11.1
ATL

Jakob Poeltl — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Jakob Poeltl has averaged 16.7 points, 8.3 rebounds and 2.5 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
4 Aprvs DET3110112
1 Apr@ CHI241252
28 Marvs CHA2624123
24 Mar@ WSH2621111
20 Mar@ GS281882
16 Mar@ POR251983
12 Marvs PHI17952
8 Marvs WSH242155
4 Mar@ ORL241772
2 Mar@ ORL2616113
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Apr 26 Toronto Raptors @ Cleveland Cavaliers Rebounds 9.5 Under -357 ✓ HIT
07 Apr 26 Miami Heat @ Toronto Raptors Rebounds 10.5 Under -435 ✓ HIT
18 Mar 26 Toronto Raptors @ Chicago Bulls Pts + Rebs + Asts 22.5 Over -125 ✓ HIT
10 Apr 26 Toronto Raptors @ New York Knicks Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
05 Apr 26 Toronto Raptors @ Boston Celtics Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
05 Apr 26 Toronto Raptors @ Boston Celtics Pts + Rebs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jakob Poeltl (Toronto Raptors) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Jakob Poeltl is currently on a 9-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Jakob Poeltl is Under 9.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.2% on this pick. Their next game is Toronto Raptors vs Cleveland Cavaliers on Saturday 18 April at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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