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NBA

Jakob Poeltl

Toronto Raptors

+12.4% Edge
🔥 9 Consecutive Hits
Latest Pick
Rebounds Under 9.5 -345 (1.29)
+12.4% Edge
Toronto Raptors @ Cleveland Cavaliers
Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland
Sat 18 Apr, 5:00PM
Model Probability
89.9%
Implied Probability
77.5%
Model Edge
+12.4%
Predicted Value
6.4 Rebounds

AI Analysis

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Jakob Poeltl (Toronto Raptors) Under 9.5 Rebounds (-345)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Toronto Raptors roll into Cleveland, all eyes should be on Jakob Poeltl, specifically his rebounding numbers. While his averages suggest a solid effort, recent trends tell a different story. Over the last five games, he's pulled down an average of just 3.6 boards overall, and when playing away, that number creeps up slightly to 4.4. This matchup against the Cavaliers could further complicate things for him; they've been a tough opponent for rebounders, magnified by Poeltl's last five outings where he averaged 11 rebounds against them. However, that's a good indicator of past performance rather than current form. With the Raptors on the road, Poeltl's production has dipped, and given an expected stat value of just 6.4, taking the under on 9.5 rebounds feels like a smart play. The odds are certainly in our favor, with a robust hit rate backing this wager.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (9 picks) 44.4% (4/9)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
10 Apr 26 Toronto Raptors @ New York Knicks Pts + Rebs 16.5 Over -108 ✗ MISS
07 Apr 26 Miami Heat @ Toronto Raptors Rebounds 10.5 Under -435 ✓ HIT
05 Apr 26 Toronto Raptors @ Boston Celtics Pts + Rebs 19.5 Over +174 ✗ MISS
05 Apr 26 Toronto Raptors @ Boston Celtics Pts + Rebs Pending
19 Mar 26 Toronto Raptors @ Chicago Bulls Pts + Rebs + Asts Pending
15 Mar 26 Detroit Pistons @ Toronto Raptors Assists Pending

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About This Player

Jakob Poeltl (Toronto Raptors) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 9 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 44.4% (4/9). Jakob Poeltl is currently on a 9-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Jakob Poeltl is Under 9.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.4% on this pick. Their next game is Toronto Raptors vs Cleveland Cavaliers on Saturday 18 April at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.