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Model picks & player props
Indiana Pacers
VS
Orlando Magic

Indiana Pacers vs Orlando Magic Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:17AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
4
Game Picks
12
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Orlando Magic -6.5 (Point Spread)
For Indiana Pacers vs Orlando Magic (NBA), model win probability 84.9%, fair odds 1.18, book price -110, model edge +32.5%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Point Spread
Orlando Magic
-6.5
+ 3 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Orlando MagicPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Indiana PacersMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Indiana Pacers

  • Tyrese Haliburton GDay-to-day
  • Jarace Walker FDay-to-day
  • Pascal Siakam FDay-to-day
  • Ben Sheppard GDay-to-day
  • Aaron Nesmith GDay-to-day
  • T.J. McConnell GDay-to-day
  • Johnny Furphy GOut

Orlando Magic

  • Colin Castleton CDay-to-day
  • Noah Penda FDay-to-day
  • Alex Morales GDay-to-day
  • Jase Richardson GDay-to-day
  • Izaiyah Nelson FDay-to-day
  • Jonathan Isaac FDay-to-day
  • Franz Wagner FDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 18, 8:49PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Indiana Pacers vs Orlando Magic: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 14 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability14 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Paolo Banchero Orlando Magic Pts + Rebs 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Paolo Banchero Orlando Magic Points 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Paolo Banchero Orlando Magic Pts + Asts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Jevon Carter Orlando Magic Points 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Desmond Bane Orlando Magic Pts + Asts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsIndiana Pacers @ Orlando MagicNo line posted

Orlando Magic and Indiana Pacers combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadOrlando Magic spreadNo line posted

Orlando Magic (season record) meet Indiana Pacers; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineOrlando Magic to winNo line posted

Orlando Magic (season record) host or visit Indiana Pacers; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Orlando Magic totalNo line posted

Orlando Magic averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Indiana Pacers; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Indiana Pacers totalNo line posted

Indiana Pacers averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Orlando Magic; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Indiana Pacers @ Orlando Magic — model preview

<p>Winning bets for Orlando Magic vs Indiana Pacers? We break down odds and insights. Includes analysis on key players like Jevon Carter. Explore NBA predictions, NBA game picks, betting preview, Orlando Magic vs Indiana Pacers stats and odds.</p>

Jevon Carter (Orlando Magic) Under 2.5 Threes Made (-112)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Orlando Magic prepare to face the Indiana Pacers, Jevon Carter's three-point shooting comes under scrutiny, particularly for the under on 2.5 made threes. While Carter has shown flashes of brilliance, averaging 2.4 threes in his last five games, the trend shifts when he's at home, where he's hitting just 2 per game. Against the Pacers, he's notched only 1.2 threes in their last few matchups. The numbers suggest a more conservative outing; his overall hit rate is impressive over the last ten games, but that's buoyed by some favorable matchups. In fact, he's hit the under in 12 of his last 15 home games. With the Magic's offensive dynamics and the Pacers' defensive schemes, we can reasonably expect Carter to fall short of that 2.5 mark. It's time to capitalize on this trending under.

Pascal Siakam (Indiana Pacers) Over 24.5 Points + Rebounds (-123)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When the Indiana Pacers hit the road to face the Orlando Magic, all eyes should be on Pascal Siakam. This matchup presents a prime opportunity for Siakam to shine, especially considering his recent form. Averaging nearly 25 points and 6 rebounds against the Magic in their last few encounters, he's shown a knack for exploiting their defense. While his last five games have seen him hover around 24.2 points and 5.2 rebounds, it's his away form that truly stands out-hitting the over in 16 of his last 20 road games. With an expected stat line of around 28.94, it's clear he's well-equipped to exceed that 24.5 mark. The Pacers' inconsistent defense could play right into his hands, making this bet an enticing prospect as he looks to lead the charge for the Pacers in a crucial away game.

Jett Howard (Orlando Magic) Under 1.5 Threes Made (-167)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As we gear up for the matchup between the Orlando Magic and the Indiana Pacers, Jett Howard's shooting performance is worth a closer look, particularly when considering the under on his threes made at 1.5. Over his last five games, Howard has averaged just 1.4 threes, and when we zoom in on his home games, that number holds steady. Historically, he's struggled against the Pacers, averaging only 0.7 threes at home. Now, against a team that tends to limit perimeter shots, we can expect Howard to face added defensive pressure, which further diminishes his chances of knocking down two or more. With a hit rate of 12 out of his last 15 home games still supporting the under, this looks like a solid play. The numbers suggest that keeping Howard under 1.5 threes made is not just a possibility-it's a strong likelihood.

Aaron Nesmith (Indiana Pacers) Over 14.5 Points + Rebounds (-128)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Aaron Nesmith is primed for a standout performance against the Orlando Magic, and betting on him to exceed 14.5 points and rebounds feels like a savvy move. Over his last five games, he's averaged a solid 15.6 points, clearly finding his rhythm. Even more compelling is his away form, where he's ramped it up to 17.8 points per game.Against the Magic, he's typically been effective, averaging 12.6 points per game, but his rebounding against them has been notable too, with 5.2 boards on average. Given that he's hit this combined total in three of his last four outings, there's a strong trend favoring him to go over tonight. With the pressure on and a favorable matchup, expect Nesmith to not just meet but exceed that 14.5 mark as he continues his impressive run on the road.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Indiana Pacers vs Orlando Magic in the NBA. The model has generated 4 game picks and 12 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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