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Trevor McDonald

MLB

Value call

Trevor McDonald has one live pick today: under 3.5 strikeouts that pays $160 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
83 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 83.1% · the book's price implies 62.5% · gap +20.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
San Francisco Giants @ Kansas City Royals
Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri · Outdoor
Mon 20 Jul, 7:40 PM ET
Trevor McDonald
under 3.5 strikeouts
Pitcher - Strikeouts Under 3.5 -167 (1.60) · $100→$160
Value call
HIGHWins about 83 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$16.00 Odds-167
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Trevor McDonald is Under 3.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On Pitcher - Strikeouts, our numbers say this bet wins about 83 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 83%, the price says 63%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Nov 3, 11:56AM UTC
OUT
The Giants transferred McDonald (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Thursday, Alex Pavlovic of NBC Sports Bay Area reports.
updated Nov 3, 4:36AM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Strikeouts83.1%—62.5%1.20+20.6%

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AI Analysis

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Trevor McDonald (NA) Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-167)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Royals host the Giants, all eyes will be on Trevor McDonald, but betting the 'Under 3.5' strikeouts could be the savvy play here. McDonald has struggled to find his rhythm lately, averaging just over two strikeouts per game in his recent outings. The Giants, while not an offensive powerhouse, have been disciplined at the plate. They rank among the top teams in avoiding strikeouts, making it tough for pitchers to rack up Ks against them. Add to that McDonald’s tendency to pitch to contact rather than miss bats, and it’s easy to see why this line feels a touch inflated. With Kansas City’s bullpen also capable of taking over early if needed, McDonald might not even last long enough to hit that elusive four-strikeout mark. In this matchup, the 'Under' feels like a smart call amidst the trends surrounding both the pitcher and the lineup he faces.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Jul 26 San Francisco Giants @ Kansas City Royals Pitcher - Strikeouts 3.5 Under -167 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Trevor McDonald is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Trevor McDonald is Under 3.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.6% on this pick. Their next game is San Francisco Giants vs Kansas City Royals on Monday 20 July at Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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