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The latest Bet Better model pick for Stuart Fairchild is Under 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases.
On Batter - Stolen Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 93 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 93%, implied 85%, edge +7.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 10:56PM UTC
MLB

Stuart Fairchild

ATL

+7.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Stolen Bases Under 0.5 -588 (1.17) · $100→$117
+7.1% Edge
Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves
Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia · Outdoor
Sun 29 Jun, 5:35PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 935 of 1,976 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
93 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 92.6% · the book's price implies 85.5% · gap +7.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Stolen Bases92.6%—85.5%1.08+7.1%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Stuart Fairchild (ATL) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-588)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The Under 0.5 bet for Stuart Fairchild's stolen bases is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. His last five games have shown an average of zero stolen bases overall and at home. Even when facing the Phillies, his stolen base average remains low at 0.2. Additionally, Fairchild's current hit streak doesn't significantly influence his stolen base rate, as his overall and home hit streaks are 5 and 17 respectively, yet his stolen base averages remain minimal. Furthermore, the opponent's and home caught stealing averages are zero, implying that while he isn't getting caught, he's also not attempting many steals. All these stats suggest a low likelihood of Fairchild stealing a base in the upcoming game against the Phillies, making the Under 0.5 bet a good choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Stuart Fairchild is averaging 0.0 hits, 0.0 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

0.0
Hits
0.0
HR
0.0
RBI
0.0
Runs
0.0
Walks
0.8
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Total Bases

Stuart Fairchild has gone over 1.5 total bases in 10% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o1.510%
o2.510%
o3.50%
o4.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Stuart Fairchild is averaging 0.0 hits per game over his last 5 and 0.2 in home games, including his recent form against PHI.

0.0
Hits · Overall
0.2
Hits · Home
0.2
Hits · vs PHI
0.0
HR · Overall
0.0
HR · Home
0.0
HR · vs PHI
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Stuart Fairchild (ATL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Stuart Fairchild is Under 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.1% on this pick. Their next game is Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves on Sunday 29 June at Truist Park, Atlanta. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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