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The latest Bet Better model pick for Stuart Fairchild is Under 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases.
On the Batter - Stolen Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 93%, versus the book's implied 85%, for a model edge of +7.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:04PM UTC
MLB

Stuart Fairchild

ATL

+7.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Stolen Bases Under 0.5 -588 (1.17)
+7.1% Edge
Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves
Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia · Outdoor
Sun 29 Jun, 5:35PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
92.6%
Implied Probability
85.5%
Model Edge
+7.1%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Stolen Bases92.6%—85.5%1.08+7.1%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Stuart Fairchild (ATL) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-588)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The Under 0.5 bet for Stuart Fairchild's stolen bases is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. His last five games have shown an average of zero stolen bases overall and at home. Even when facing the Phillies, his stolen base average remains low at 0.2. Additionally, Fairchild's current hit streak doesn't significantly influence his stolen base rate, as his overall and home hit streaks are 5 and 17 respectively, yet his stolen base averages remain minimal. Furthermore, the opponent's and home caught stealing averages are zero, implying that while he isn't getting caught, he's also not attempting many steals. All these stats suggest a low likelihood of Fairchild stealing a base in the upcoming game against the Phillies, making the Under 0.5 bet a good choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.510%

Stuart Fairchild MLB hitsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 1.510%
O 2.510%

Stuart Fairchild MLB total basesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Stolen BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.510%

Stuart Fairchild MLB stolen basesseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Stuart Fairchild (ATL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Stuart Fairchild is Under 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.1% on this pick. Their next game is Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves on Sunday 29 June at Truist Park, Atlanta. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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