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The latest Bet Better model pick for Ramon Urias is Over 0.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On the Batter - Total Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 65%, versus the book's implied 47%, for a model edge of +19.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:06PM UTC
MLB

Ramon Urias

BAL

+19.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Over 0.5 +115 (2.15)
+19.0% Edge
Houston Astros @ Los Angeles Angels
Angel Stadium, Anaheim, California · Outdoor
Sun 28 Sep, 7:07PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
65.5%
Implied Probability
46.5%
Model Edge
+19.0%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases65.5%—46.5%1.53+19.0%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games6/10

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AI Analysis

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Ramon Urias (BAL) Over 0.5 Total Bases (+115)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting on Ramon Urias for Over 0.5 in the Batter Total Bases market is a solid choice considering his recent performance. Urias has been consistently hitting on average 0.8 times per game over his last five games, which indicates a higher than 50% chance of hitting at least once in the upcoming game. Additionally, his performance is even stronger when playing away games, with an average of 1 hit per game over the last five away games. This suggests that he performs better in away games, which is the case for the upcoming match against the Los Angeles Angels. Although he currently has a hit streak of 0, his away hit streak is at 1 which further supports the bet. Based on these statistics, Urias is likely to hit and therefore, the bet on Over 0.5 is a good choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
60%hit L10
0.8avg hits · L5
L2070%

Ramon Urias MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games; averaging 0.8 hits over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
60%hit L10
1avg total bases · L5
L2070%
O 0.560%
O 1.520%
O 2.510%

Ramon Urias MLB total bases: cleared over 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games; averaging 1 total bases over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
70%hit L10
1.4avg H+R+RBI · L5
L2075%

Ramon Urias MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games; averaging 1.4 H+R+RBI over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
60%hit L10
0.6avg singles · L5
L2070%

Ramon Urias MLB singles: cleared over 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games; averaging 0.6 singles over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - DoublesSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.2avg doubles · L5

Ramon Urias MLB doubles: averaging 0.2 doubles over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.4avg walks · L5

Ramon Urias MLB walks: averaging 0.4 walks over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Ramon Urias (BAL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ramon Urias is Over 0.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.0% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Angels on Sunday 28 September at Angel Stadium, Anaheim. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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