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MLB

Pablo Lopez

MIN

Value call

Pablo Lopez has one live pick today: over 0.5 walks allowed that pays $126 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
95 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 95.3% · the book's price implies 79.4% · gap +15.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Minnesota Twins @ Tampa Bay Rays
Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, Florida · Indoor
Wed 28 May, 1:10 PM ET
Pablo Lopez
over 0.5 walks allowed
Pitcher - Walks Over 0.5 -385 (1.26) · $100→$126
Value call
HIGHWins about 95 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$12.60 Odds-385
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Pablo Lopez is Over 0.5 on Pitcher - Walks.
On Pitcher - Walks, our numbers say this bet wins about 95 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 95%, the price says 79%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 12:34PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 145 of 250 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
The Twins placed Lopez (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Thursday.
updated May 8, 11:02AM UTC · 171d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Walks95.3%—79.4%1.05+15.9%

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AI Analysis

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Pablo Lopez (MIN) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-385)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Pablo Lopez to allow over 0.5 walks is supported by his recent performance data. Over his last five games, both overall and away, he's averaged more than 0.5 walks per game. Specifically, his overall average walks allowed is 1.2 and his away average is 1.0, both comfortably above the line. His innings pitched and outs averages also suggest he's consistently on the mound for a significant duration, increasing the chances of conceding a walk. Furthermore, his current hit streak of 2 games, both overall and away, indicates a recent trend of conceding hits, which may correlate with a higher likelihood of walks. Therefore, based on his recent performances and current form, it's statistically likely that Pablo Lopez will allow over 0.5 walks in the upcoming game.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Pablo Lopez (MIN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Pablo Lopez is Over 0.5 on Pitcher - Walks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.9% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Twins vs Tampa Bay Rays on Wednesday 28 May at Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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