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The latest Bet Better model pick for Nick Madrigal is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits.
On Batter - Hits, our numbers say this bet wins about 34 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 34%, the price says 42%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Under 1.50 BBlanded 10 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Oct 6, 9:31AM UTC
MLB

Nick Madrigal

MLB

Nick Madrigal has one live pick today: Batter - Hits Under 0.5 that pays $239 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits Under 0.5 +139 (2.39) · $100→$239
Athletics @ Tampa Bay Rays
Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, Florida · Indoor
Thu 17 Sep, 5:10PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 135 of 235 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
34 in 100
Predicted
0.9 Batter - Hits
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 34.1% · before adjusting for past results 32.7% · the book's price implies 41.8% · gap -7.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits32.7%34.1%41.8%2.93-9.1%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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Tampa Bay Rays vs Athletics: Nick Madrigal Under 0.5 Batter - Hits (+139)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

The Tampa Bay Rays have been great at home, winning 51 games there this year, while the Oakland Athletics have struggled on the road. Nick Madrigal has a tough matchup as he faces a tough Rays pitching staff. Plus, in day games after a night game, he doesn't get many doubles and has not been hitting well lately. Betting on Madrigal to get under 0.5 hits looks promising at these odds. He averages less than one hit in similar situations, so it seems like a solid choice. The biggest risk is that Madrigal could surprise us, but the stats don't favor him here.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 9 of last 10(90%)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
16 Sep 26 Athletics @ Tampa Bay Rays Batter - RBIs 0.5 Under -313 ✓ HIT
16 Sep 26 Athletics @ Tampa Bay Rays Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 1.5 Under -122 ✓ HIT
16 Sep 26 Athletics @ Tampa Bay Rays Batter - Hits 0.5 Under +165 ✗ MISS
16 Sep 26 Athletics @ Tampa Bay Rays Batter - Singles — — — Pending
16 Sep 26 Athletics @ Tampa Bay Rays Batter - Runs Scored — — — Pending
13 Sep 26 Houston Astros @ Tampa Bay Rays Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Nick Madrigal is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Nick Madrigal is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a slight edge of -9.1% on this pick. Their next game is Athletics vs Tampa Bay Rays on Thursday 17 September at Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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