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The latest Bet Better model pick for Mike Paredes is Under 3.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On the Pitcher - Strikeouts market the model assigns a model win probability of 85%, versus the book's implied 56%, for a model edge of +28.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 23, 10:44AM UTC
MLB

Mike Paredes

MLB

+28.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Strikeouts Under 3.5 -130 (1.77)
+28.9% Edge
Minnesota Twins @ New York Yankees
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC), New York · Outdoor
Fri 3 Jul, 11:05PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Model Probability
85.4%
Implied Probability
56.5%
Model Edge
+28.9%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Strikeouts85.4%—56.5%1.17+28.9%

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AI Analysis

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Mike Paredes (NA) Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-130)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Yankees prepare to face the Twins, all eyes will be on Mike Paredes, but don’t expect him to rack up strikeouts. Lately, Paredes has struggled against lineups that are patient and disciplined, and the Twins fit that mold. They currently sit in the top tier for contact rate, minimizing strikeouts against pitchers. Additionally, the Yankees' home park tends to favor hitters, which doesn’t bode well for Paredes' strikeout chances. He’s been averaging just under two strikeouts per outing in his last few starts, so that 3.5 mark feels lofty. With the Twins' recent surge in offensive production, they’re likely to make contact and put the ball in play, further limiting Paredes' strikeout potential. With trends heavily leaning towards the under, taking the 'Under 3.5' on his strikeouts looks like a savvy move as the game unfolds.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
03 Jul 26 Minnesota Twins @ New York Yankees Pitcher - Strikeouts 3.5 Under -130 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Mike Paredes is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Mike Paredes is Under 3.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +28.9% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees on Friday 3 July at Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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