SYSTEM STATUS: Online WIN: WON: Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats (Brisbane Lions @ +167) WIN: WON: Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats (Brisbane Lions @ +167) TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 80.0% over 30 days WIN: WON: Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats (Brisbane Lions @ +176) TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 80.0% over 30 days WIN: WON: Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats (Brisbane Lions 13.5 @ -111) WIN: WON: Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners (Los Angeles Angels 1.5 @ +640) WIN: WON: Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians (Cleveland Guardians @ +102) SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +1086.7 units this season WIN: WON: Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners (Los Angeles Angels 2 @ +525) TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 80.0% over 30 days TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 80.0% over 30 days WIN: WON: Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats (Brisbane Lions @ +180) WIN: WON: Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats (Brisbane Lions 13.5 @ -111) TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 79.8% over 30 days SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +1109.7 units this season SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +415.4 units this season WIN: WON: Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats (Brisbane Lions @ +183) SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +516.6 units this season SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +516.6 units this season RESULT: WON: Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats (Brisbane Lions @ +167) RESULT: WON: Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats (Brisbane Lions @ +167) 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 80.0% over 30 days RESULT: WON: Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats (Brisbane Lions @ +176) 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 80.0% over 30 days RESULT: WON: Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats (Brisbane Lions 13.5 @ -111) RESULT: WON: Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners (Los Angeles Angels 1.5 @ +640) RESULT: WON: Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians (Cleveland Guardians @ +102) 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +1086.7 units this season RESULT: WON: Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners (Los Angeles Angels 2 @ +525) 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 80.0% over 30 days 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 80.0% over 30 days RESULT: WON: Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats (Brisbane Lions @ +180) RESULT: WON: Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats (Brisbane Lions 13.5 @ -111) 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 79.8% over 30 days 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +1109.7 units this season 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +415.4 units this season RESULT: WON: Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats (Brisbane Lions @ +183) 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +516.6 units this season 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +516.6 units this season
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MLB

Mike Paredes

MLB

+28.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Strikeouts Under 3.5 -130 (1.77)
+28.9% Edge
Minnesota Twins @ New York Yankees
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC)
Fri 3 Jul, 11:05PM
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
85.4%
Implied Probability
56.5%
Model Edge
+28.9%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

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Mike Paredes (NA) Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-130)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Yankees prepare to face the Twins, all eyes will be on Mike Paredes, but don’t expect him to rack up strikeouts. Lately, Paredes has struggled against lineups that are patient and disciplined, and the Twins fit that mold. They currently sit in the top tier for contact rate, minimizing strikeouts against pitchers. Additionally, the Yankees' home park tends to favor hitters, which doesn’t bode well for Paredes' strikeout chances. He’s been averaging just under two strikeouts per outing in his last few starts, so that 3.5 mark feels lofty. With the Twins' recent surge in offensive production, they’re likely to make contact and put the ball in play, further limiting Paredes' strikeout potential. With trends heavily leaning towards the under, taking the 'Under 3.5' on his strikeouts looks like a savvy move as the game unfolds.

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Pick History & Track Record

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About This Player

Mike Paredes is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Mike Paredes is Under 3.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +28.9% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees on Friday 3 July at Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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