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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Martin Perez is Over 6.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On Pitcher - Strikeouts, our numbers say this bet wins about 14 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 14%, the price says 7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 BBlanded 10 of the last 10
Over 1.50 BBlanded 8 of the last 10
Over 3.50 Hlanded 7 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Oct 6, 2:17AM UTC
MLB

Martin Perez

MLB

Value call

Martin Perez has one live pick today: Pitcher - Strikeouts Over 6.5 that pays $1,340 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Strikeouts Over 6.5 +1240 (13.40) · $100→$1,340
Value call
Atlanta Braves @ Houston Astros
Minute Maid Park, Houston, Texas · Indoor
Sun 20 Sep, 6:10PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 135 of 235 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
Atlanta manager Walt Weiss said Friday that Perez (back) will not be available for the NLDS against the Dodgers, Aiden Stepansky of MLB.com reports.
updated Oct 2, 5:14PM UTC · 3d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
14 in 100
Predicted
3.7 Pitcher - Strikeouts
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 14.5% · before adjusting for past results 10.1% · the book's price implies 7.5% · gap +7.0%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Strikeouts10.1%14.5%7.5%6.91+2.6%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games7/10

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AI Analysis

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Martin Perez Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+1240)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Houston Astros play Atlanta Braves in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Martin Perez Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+1240). That is a Strikeouts bet. It was priced at +1240 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $134 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Martin Perez is averaging 4.4 hits, 0.4 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

4.4
Hits
0.4
HR
0.0
RBI
2.6
Runs
2.6
Walks
4.2
Ks

Home / away and opponent splits

Martin Perez is averaging 4.4 hits per game over his last 5 and 3.2 in home games, including his recent form against NYY.

4.4
Hits · Overall
3.2
Hits · Home
5.5
Hits · vs NYY
0.4
HR · Overall
0.2
HR · Home
0.0
HR · vs NYY
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Sep 26 Atlanta Braves @ Houston Astros Pitcher - Outs 15.5 Under -108 ✓ HIT
20 Sep 26 Atlanta Braves @ Houston Astros Pitcher - Hits Allowed 4.5 Over -149 ✓ HIT
20 Sep 26 Atlanta Braves @ Houston Astros Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Over -167 ✓ HIT
20 Sep 26 Atlanta Braves @ Houston Astros Pitcher - Strikeouts — — — Pending
20 Sep 26 Atlanta Braves @ Houston Astros Pitcher - Strikeouts — — — Pending
20 Sep 26 Atlanta Braves @ Houston Astros Pitcher - Strikeouts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Martin Perez is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Martin Perez is Over 6.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.6% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Braves vs Houston Astros on Sunday 20 September at Minute Maid Park, Houston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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