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The latest Bet Better model pick for Luis Urias is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On the Batter - Total Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 66%, versus the book's implied 64%, for a model edge of +1.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:23PM UTC
MLB

Luis Urias

ATH

+1.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -179 (1.56)
+1.5% Edge
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Oakland Athletics
RingCentral Coliseum, Oakland, California · Outdoor
Sun 3 Aug, 8:05PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
65.6%
Implied Probability
64.1%
Model Edge
+1.5%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases65.6%—64.1%1.52+1.5%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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Luis Urias (ATH) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-179)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Luis Urias for Under 1.5 in the Batter Total Bases market is primarily driven by his recent performance data. Urias' last five games show an overall average of just 0.8 hits, with no doubles or triples, and only 0.2 home runs. His performance dips even further when playing away, with a mere 0.4 hits average. His performance against the Oakland Athletics is slightly better, but still not enough to surpass the 1.5 total bases line, as his hits average against them is 1.2, with 0.6 doubles and 0.2 home runs. Furthermore, his current overall hit streak is at zero. Despite a five-game hit streak away, the lack of power hitting (doubles, triples, home runs) suggests that Urias is unlikely to exceed 1.5 total bases in the upcoming game.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Luis Urias (ATH) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Luis Urias is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.5% on this pick. Their next game is Arizona Diamondbacks vs Oakland Athletics on Sunday 3 August at RingCentral Coliseum, Oakland. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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