Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Today's bet is live / One clear pick a day / Tracked in public — wins & losses / Free to start, no card
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Casey Schmitt is Under 0.5 on Batter - Doubles.
On the Batter - Doubles market the model assigns a model win probability of 89%, versus the book's implied 82%, for a model edge of +6.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 9:00AM UTC
MLB

Casey Schmitt

MLB

+6.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Doubles Under 0.5 -455 (1.22)
+6.8% Edge
San Francisco Giants @ Kansas City Royals
Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri · Outdoor
Tue 21 Jul, 11:40PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
88.8%
Implied Probability
82.0%
Model Edge
+6.8%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Doubles88.8%—82.0%1.13+6.8%

See every market's calibrated edge

Unlock the full calibrated-probability grid across every market for this player — model vs calibrated vs fair value.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
Cancel anytime

Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

See the full 20-game form curve

Unlock the complete recent-form hit-rate curve (last 3, 5, 10, 15, 20 & current streak) for this player.

Bet Better Unlock Full Form Curve
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Casey Schmitt (NA) Under 0.5 Doubles (-455)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Giants roll into Kansas City, eyes will be on rookie Casey Schmitt. While he’s shown flashes of potential, the statistics indicate it might be a tough night for him to find the gaps. Schmitt has been hitting well lately, but facing the Royals' lefty-heavy bullpen, he may struggle to translate that into extra-base hits. The Royals have been surprisingly effective at limiting doubles this season, especially at home, where they’ve kept the opposition’s power at bay. With Schmitt’s recent trend of hitting ground balls more than line drives, he’ll likely find himself hitting into those defensive shifts rather than turning singles into doubles. Moreover, with an implied probability of over 82% on the under, this matchup screams of a night where Schmitt might end up with a solid single but falls short of the extra-base hit. Expect him to be kept in check tonight.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

3 markets live
Batter - Total BasesUpcoming gameU 1.5 -133+14.2% edge
100%hit L10
Streak4
Game log vs U 1.53 / 3 hit
010

Casey Schmitt MLB total bases: cleared under 1.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Current line U 1.5 at -133 (+14.2% model edge).

Batter - RBIsUpcoming gameU 0.5 -208+12.9% edge
78%hit L10

Casey Schmitt MLB rbis: cleared under 0.5 in 78% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -208 (+12.9% model edge).

Batter - DoublesUpcoming gameU 0.5 -455+6.8% edge
100%hit L10
Streak9

Casey Schmitt MLB doubles: cleared under 0.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -455 (+6.8% model edge).

Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.525%

Casey Schmitt MLB hitsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.525%

Casey Schmitt MLB hits + runs + rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%
O 1.510%

Casey Schmitt MLB runs scoredseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.525%

Casey Schmitt MLB singlesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 1.511%

Casey Schmitt MLB strikeoutsseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Jul 26 San Francisco Giants @ Kansas City Royals Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -208 ✓ HIT
20 Jul 26 San Francisco Giants @ Kansas City Royals Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -111 ✓ HIT
19 Jul 26 San Francisco Giants @ Seattle Mariners Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -149 ✗ MISS
08 Jul 26 Toronto Blue Jays @ San Francisco Giants Batter - Hits — — — Pending
08 Jul 26 Toronto Blue Jays @ San Francisco Giants Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending
08 Jul 26 Toronto Blue Jays @ San Francisco Giants Batter - Singles — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Casey Schmitt is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Casey Schmitt is Under 0.5 on Batter - Doubles. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.8% on this pick. Their next game is San Francisco Giants vs Kansas City Royals on Tuesday 21 July at Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks