Casey Schmitt (NA) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-133)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Kansas City Royals host the San Francisco Giants, all eyes will be on Casey Schmitt, but betting the “Under” on his total bases feels like the smarter play. Schmitt has shown flashes of potential, yet he’s been inconsistent lately, batting just .220 over his last two weeks. The Royals’ pitching staff has also tightened up; they’ve cut down on hard contact, limiting opponents to an average of just 3.8 runs per game at home this season.
Meanwhile, Schmitt has historically struggled against left-handed pitching, and with the Royals likely rolling out a southpaw, this matchup could spell trouble for him. The combination of his recent slump and a solid Royals rotation suggests he might struggle to find gaps. With the underline set at 1.5 and a model prediction closer to 1.1, backing the “Under” feels like a prudent move tonight.