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Model picks & player props
Los Angeles Dodgers
VS
San Diego Padres

Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:18AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Petco Park, San Diego
Outdoor
Sun 28 Jun 2026, 8:10PM
20
Game Picks
11
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: San Diego Padres 7.5 (Spread)
For Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres (MLB), model win probability 94.7%, fair odds 1.06, book price +1800, model edge +89.4%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Sun 28 Jun 2026, 8:10PM at Petco Park.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Spread
San Diego Padres
11
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
San Diego PadresSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego PadresSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego PadresSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego PadresSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego PadresSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego PadresSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego PadresSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego PadresSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego PadresSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Los Angeles Dodgers

  • Edwin Diaz RPOut
  • Will Smith COut
  • Enrique Hernandez 1BOut
  • Tyler Glasnow SPOut
  • Blake Snell SPOut
  • Blake Treinen RPOut
  • Bobby Miller SPOut
  • Gavin Stone SPOut
  • Brusdar Graterol RPOut
  • Ben Casparius RPOut
  • Jake Cousins RPOut

Probable pitcher

Emmet Sheehan SP

San Diego Padres

  • Nick Pivetta SPOut
  • Miguel Andujar DHOut
  • Joe Musgrove SPOut
  • David Morgan RPOut
  • Samad Taylor LFOut
  • Jason Adam RPOut
  • Jeremiah Estrada RPOut
  • Lucas Giolito SPOut
  • Ramon Laureano LFOut
  • Yu Darvish SPOut
  • Bryan Hoeing RPOut

Probable pitcher

JP Sears SP
Availability updated Jul 20, 11:15PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 22 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability22 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Fernando Tatis Jr. SDP Batter - Hits 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Fernando Tatis Jr. SDP Batter - Total Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Samad Taylor Batter - Walks 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Manny Machado SDP Batter - Walks 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Manny Machado SDP Batter - Hits 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineSan Diego PadresNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF6.6L5 RA3.0Home L53-2vs Los Angeles Dodgers L54-1Win rec9-5

San Diego Padres moneyline form: last five 3-2, 6.6 runs/gm.

Run LineSan Diego Padres run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF6.6L5 RA3.0Home L53-2vs Los Angeles Dodgers L54-1ATS8-8

San Diego Padres spread form: last five 3-2, 6.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles DodgersNo line posted

San Diego Padres total runs form: last five 3-2, 6.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsSan Diego Padres team totalNo line posted
4.9implied team total
L5 RF6.6L5 RA3.0Home L53-2vs Los Angeles Dodgers L54-1

San Diego Padres team total runs form: last five 3-2, 6.6 runs/gm.

Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres — model preview

<p>Latest MLB betting preview: San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers. Get predictions and top picks. Includes analysis on key players like Fernando Tatis Jr.. Keywords: MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers stats and odds.</p>

San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers : Los Angeles Dodgers +2 (-182)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

Fernando Tatis Jr. (SDP) Under 2.5 Total Bases (-345)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers : Over 6 Total Runs (+100)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

Manny Machado (SDP) Under 1.5 Hits (-500)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Manny Machado (SDP) Under 2.5 Total Bases (-500)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
9
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
28 Jun 26 Spread San Diego Padres 11 ✓ HIT
28 Jun 26 Spread San Diego Padres 9.5 ✓ HIT
28 Jun 26 Spread San Diego Padres 10 ✓ HIT
28 Jun 26 Spread San Diego Padres 10.5 ✓ HIT
28 Jun 26 Spread San Diego Padres 9 ✓ HIT
28 Jun 26 Spread San Diego Padres 8.5 ✓ HIT
28 Jun 26 Spread San Diego Padres 13.5 ✓ HIT
28 Jun 26 Spread San Diego Padres 13 ✓ HIT
28 Jun 26 Spread San Diego Padres 7.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres in the MLB. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Sunday 28 June 2026 at Petco Park. The model has generated 20 game picks and 11 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

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