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Model picks & player props
Houston Astros
VS
Colorado Rockies

Houston Astros vs Colorado Rockies Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:19AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Coors Field, Denver
Outdoor
Wed 8 Apr 2026, 12:40AM
8
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Houston Astros 1.5 (Spread)
For Houston Astros vs Colorado Rockies (MLB), model win probability 73.3%, fair odds 1.36, book price +1000, model edge +64.2%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Wed 8 Apr 2026, 12:40AM at Coors Field.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Spread
Houston Astros
1.5
+ 7 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Houston AstrosSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Houston Astros

  • Christian Walker 1BDay-to-day
  • Brice Matthews CFOut
  • Mike Burrows SPOut
  • Hayden Wesneski SPOut
  • Brandon Walter SPOut
  • Carlos Correa SSOut

Probable pitcher

Ronel Blanco SP

Colorado Rockies

  • Jeff Criswell RPOut
  • Brenton Doyle CFOut
  • Jose Quintana SPOut
  • Blas Castano RPOut
  • Jaden Hill RPOut
  • Chase Dollander SPOut
  • Welinton Herrera RPOut
  • McCade Brown SPOut
  • RJ Petit RPOut
  • Pierson Ohl RPOut
  • Kris Bryant DHOut

Probable pitcher

Kyle Freeland SP
Availability updated Jul 21, 4:36AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Houston Astros vs Colorado Rockies: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 17 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability17 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineColorado RockiesNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF3.4L5 RA2.4Home L53-2vs Houston Astros L53-2

Colorado Rockies moneyline form: last five 3-2, 3.4 runs/gm.

Run LineColorado Rockies run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF3.4L5 RA2.4Home L53-2vs Houston Astros L53-2

Colorado Rockies spread form: last five 3-2, 3.4 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Colorado Rockies vs Houston AstrosNo line posted

Colorado Rockies total runs form: last five 3-2, 3.4 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsColorado Rockies team totalNo line posted
2.5implied team total
L5 RF3.4L5 RA2.4Home L53-2vs Houston Astros L53-2

Colorado Rockies team total runs form: last five 3-2, 3.4 runs/gm.

Houston Astros vs Colorado Rockies — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Colorado Rockies are scoring 2.8 runs per game (2-3) while Houston Astros are at 6.8 (4-1); Colorado Rockies pitchers are allowing 3.0 earned runs per game versus 3.4 for Houston Astros.

2.8
Colorado Rockies runs/G
6.8
Houston Astros runs/G
Last 5 gamesColorado RockiesHouston Astros
Runs / game2.86.8
Hits / game4.87.2
Home runs / game0.40.8
Walks drawn / game2.03.6
Batter K / game4.62.0
Earned runs allowed / game3.03.4
Pitching K / game3.24.2
Walks allowed / game2.22.8
L5 record2-34-1

Houston Astros @ Colorado Rockies — model preview

<p>Deep dive into Colorado Rockies vs Houston Astros MLB game. Find value betting opportunities. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Check out MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Colorado Rockies vs Houston Astros stats and odds.</p>

Colorado Rockies vs Houston Astros : Under 16.5 Total Runs (-500)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

As the Rockies host the Astros on April 8, we’re looking at a compelling matchup that points toward a lower-scoring affair. The Rockies’ offense, while capable of the occasional outburst, has struggled to find consistency, ranking near the bottom in runs scored lately. On the other side, the Astros’ pitching staff has been nothing short of stellar, boasting a solid ERA that bodes well against a Rockies lineup that hasn’t been able to capitalize at Coors Field this season. With temperatures likely to dip and the potential for a brisk wind, hitters may find it tough to connect. The model predicts around 11.5 runs, well below that lofty total of 16.5. Given the trends and recent performances, betting on the under here feels like the smart play, as both teams seem poised for a game where scoring opportunities will be at a premium.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Houston Astros vs Colorado Rockies in the MLB. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Wednesday 8 April 2026 at Coors Field. The model has generated 8 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

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