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Model picks & player props
Houston Astros
VS
Colorado Rockies

Houston Astros vs Colorado Rockies Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 30, 7:37PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Coors Field, Denver
Outdoor
Wed 8 Apr 2026, 12:40AM
8
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Houston Astros 1.5 Spread +1000

The model graded 8 markets for Houston Astros vs Colorado Rockies (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $1,100 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Wed 8 Apr 2026, 12:40AM at Coors Field.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win73.3%
The price says9.1%
Best price+1000
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Houston Astros 1.5 High73% chance +1000
Moneyline Lean60% chance —
Moneyline Long-shot25% chance —
Total Runs High87% chance —
Total Runs Long-shot13% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 935 of 1,976 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 29
Under 11.5
Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $130
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Houston Astros
+1.5
+1000
+ 7 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Houston AstrosSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Houston Astros

  • Mike Burrows SPOut
  • Brice Matthews CFOut
  • Carlos Correa SSOut
  • Brandon Walter SPOut

Probable pitcher

Ethan Pecko SP

Colorado Rockies

  • Ryan Feltner SPDay-to-day
  • Jose Quintana SPOut
  • Kyle Karros 3BOut
  • Kyle Freeland SPOut
  • Chase Dollander SPOut
  • Welinton Herrera RPOut
  • McCade Brown SPOut
  • RJ Petit RPOut
  • Pierson Ohl RPOut
  • Kris Bryant DHOut

Probable pitcher

Mason Adams SP
Availability updated Aug 30, 7:10PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Houston Astros vs Colorado Rockies: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 14 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability14 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineColorado RockiesNo line posted
1-4L5 record
L5 RF0.6L5 RA0.6Home L51-4vs Houston Astros L51-4

Colorado Rockies moneyline form: last five 1-4, 0.6 runs/gm.

Run LineColorado Rockies run lineNo line posted
1-4L5 record
L5 RF0.6L5 RA0.6Home L51-4vs Houston Astros L51-4

Colorado Rockies spread form: last five 1-4, 0.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Colorado Rockies vs Houston AstrosNo line posted

Colorado Rockies total runs form: last five 1-4, 0.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsColorado Rockies team totalNo line posted
0.5runs we expect
L5 RF0.6L5 RA0.6Home L51-4vs Houston Astros L51-4

Colorado Rockies team total runs form: last five 1-4, 0.6 runs/gm.

Houston Astros @ Colorado Rockies — what the model found

Our model graded 8 betting markets for Houston Astros at Colorado Rockies — 8 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

8
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 8 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 7 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Houston Astros vs Colorado Rockies — recent results

Colorado Rockies have won 2 of their last 5 games; Houston Astros have won 3 of their last 5.

Colorado Rockies — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–2ATLAway
L4–6ATLAway
L1–7WSHAway
W13–1WSHAway
W3–1WSHAway
Houston Astros — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–6NYMAway
W3–1NYMAway
W5–1NYYAway
L3–9NYYAway
W9–7NYYAway

Houston Astros vs Colorado Rockies — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Colorado Rockies are scoring 2.8 runs per game (2-3) while Houston Astros are at 6.8 (4-1); Colorado Rockies pitchers are allowing 3.0 earned runs per game versus 3.4 for Houston Astros.

2.8
Colorado Rockies runs/G
6.8
Houston Astros runs/G
Last 5 gamesColorado RockiesHouston Astros
Runs / game2.86.8
Hits / game4.87.2
Home runs / game0.40.8
Walks drawn / game2.03.6
Batter K / game4.62.0
Earned runs allowed / game3.03.4
Pitching K / game3.24.2
Walks allowed / game2.22.8
L5 record2-34-1

Houston Astros vs Colorado Rockies — recent meetings

These two have met 6 times recently: Colorado Rockies won 4, Houston Astros won 2.

DateColorado RockiesHouston AstrosWinner
Apr 1732Colorado Rockies
Apr 1613Houston Astros
Apr 1567Houston Astros
Apr 851Colorado Rockies
Apr 891Colorado Rockies
Apr 797Colorado Rockies

Who’s out or in doubt

14 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Colorado Rockies
PlayerStatus
Ryan Feltner SPDAY-TO-DAY
Jose Quintana SPOUT
Kyle Karros 3BOUT
Kyle Freeland SPOUT
Chase Dollander SPOUT
Welinton Herrera RPOUT
McCade Brown SPOUT
RJ Petit RPOUT
Houston Astros
PlayerStatus
Mike Burrows SPOUT
Brice Matthews CFOUT
Carlos Correa SSOUT
Brandon Walter SPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Houston Astros @ Colorado Rockies — model preview

Deep dive into Colorado Rockies vs Houston Astros MLB game. Find value betting opportunities. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Check out MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Colorado Rockies vs Houston Astros stats and odds.

Colorado Rockies vs Houston Astros : Under 16.5 Total Runs (-500)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

As the Rockies host the Astros on April 8, we’re looking at a compelling matchup that points toward a lower-scoring affair. The Rockies’ offense, while capable of the occasional outburst, has struggled to find consistency, ranking near the bottom in runs scored lately. On the other side, the Astros’ pitching staff has been nothing short of stellar, boasting a solid ERA that bodes well against a Rockies lineup that hasn’t been able to capitalize at Coors Field this season. With temperatures likely to dip and the potential for a brisk wind, hitters may find it tough to connect. The model predicts around 11.5 runs, well below that lofty total of 16.5. Given the trends and recent performances, betting on the under here feels like the smart play, as both teams seem poised for a game where scoring opportunities will be at a premium.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Houston Astros vs Colorado Rockies in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Astros vs Rockies, or as Rockies vs Astros. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 8 April 2026 at Coors Field. The model has generated 8 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 21 meetings on record
Houston Astros 14–7 across the last 21 meetings · these games average 9.3 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
17 Apr 2026Colorado Rockies @ Houston Astros2–3Colorado Rockies
16 Apr 2026Colorado Rockies @ Houston Astros3–1Houston Astros
15 Apr 2026Colorado Rockies @ Houston Astros7–6Houston Astros
14 Apr 2026Colorado Rockies @ Houston Astros7–6Houston Astros
8 Apr 2026Houston Astros @ Colorado Rockies9–1Colorado Rockies
7 Apr 2026Houston Astros @ Colorado Rockies9–7Colorado Rockies
6 Apr 2026Houston Astros @ Colorado Rockies9–7Colorado Rockies
28 Aug 2025Colorado Rockies @ Houston Astros4–3Houston Astros
27 Aug 2025Colorado Rockies @ Houston Astros4–0Houston Astros
26 Aug 2025Colorado Rockies @ Houston Astros1–6Colorado Rockies

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 21 meetings on file.

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