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Model picks & player props
Colorado Rockies
VS
Cleveland Guardians

Colorado Rockies vs Cleveland Guardians Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 31, 2:39AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Progressive Field, Cleveland
Outdoor
Mon 28 Jul 2025, 10:40PM
6
Game markets graded
5
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Colorado Rockies Moneyline +1400

The model graded 11 markets for Colorado Rockies vs Cleveland Guardians (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $1,500 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Mon 28 Jul 2025, 10:40PM at Progressive Field.

Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win21.6%
The price says6.7%
Best price+1400
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Colorado Rockies Long-shot22% chance +1400
Moneyline High78% chance
Batter - Stolen Bases × 3 props Highup to 94%
Batter - Hits × 2 props Highup to 71%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 935 of 1,976 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 29
Under 11.5
Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $130
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Colorado Rockies
+ 5 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Colorado RockiesMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cleveland GuardiansMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Colorado Rockies

  • Ryan Feltner SPDay-to-day
  • Jose Quintana SPOut
  • Kyle Karros 3BOut
  • Kyle Freeland SPOut
  • Chase Dollander SPOut
  • Welinton Herrera RPOut
  • McCade Brown SPOut
  • RJ Petit RPOut
  • Pierson Ohl RPOut
  • Kris Bryant DHOut

Probable pitcher

Mason Adams SP

Cleveland Guardians

  • Rhys Hoskins 1BOut
  • Shawn Armstrong RPOut
  • Slade Cecconi SPOut

Probable pitcher

Parker Messick SP
Availability updated Aug 30, 5:40PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Colorado Rockies vs Cleveland Guardians: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 13 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability13 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Jose Ramirez CLE Batter - Stolen Bases
Tyler Freeman COL Batter - Stolen Bases
Brenton Doyle COL Batter - Hits
Jose Ramirez CLE Batter - Hits
Nolan Jones CLE Batter - Stolen Bases

+ 5 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineCleveland GuardiansNo line posted
1-4L5 record
L5 RF1.0L5 RA1.2Home L52-3vs Colorado Rockies L52-3Free board17-14

Cleveland Guardians moneyline form: last five 1-4, 1.0 runs/gm.

Run LineCleveland Guardians run lineNo line posted
1-4L5 record
L5 RF1.0L5 RA1.2Home L52-3vs Colorado Rockies L52-3

Cleveland Guardians spread form: last five 1-4, 1.0 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Cleveland Guardians vs Colorado RockiesNo line posted

Cleveland Guardians total runs form: last five 1-4, 1.0 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsCleveland Guardians team totalNo line posted
0.8runs we expect
L5 RF1.0L5 RA1.2Home L52-3vs Colorado Rockies L52-3

Cleveland Guardians team total runs form: last five 1-4, 1.0 runs/gm.

Colorado Rockies @ Cleveland Guardians — what the model found

Our model graded 11 betting markets for Colorado Rockies at Cleveland Guardians — 6 on the game itself and 5 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

6
Game markets graded
5
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 11 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

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Colorado Rockies vs Cleveland Guardians — recent results

Cleveland Guardians have won 3 of their last 5 games; Colorado Rockies have won 2 of their last 5.

Cleveland Guardians — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–8KCHome
L0–3KCHome
W8–6LAAAway
W4–3LAAAway
W4–2LAAAway
Colorado Rockies — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–2ATLAway
L4–6ATLAway
L1–7WSHAway
W13–1WSHAway
W3–1WSHAway

Colorado Rockies vs Cleveland Guardians — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Cleveland Guardians are scoring 3.8 runs per game (2-3) while Colorado Rockies are at 4.3 (2-3); Cleveland Guardians pitchers are allowing 3.4 earned runs per game versus 2.8 for Colorado Rockies.

3.8
Cleveland Guardians runs/G
4.3
Colorado Rockies runs/G
Last 5 gamesCleveland GuardiansColorado Rockies
Runs / game3.84.3
Hits / game6.65.6
Home runs / game0.60.6
Walks drawn / game2.43.9
Batter K / game4.28.0
Earned runs allowed / game3.42.8
Pitching K / game9.85.1
Walks allowed / game3.03.2
L5 record2-32-3

Colorado Rockies vs Cleveland Guardians — recent meetings

These two have met 5 times recently: Cleveland Guardians won 4, Colorado Rockies won 0.

DateCleveland GuardiansColorado RockiesWinner
Aug 2343Cleveland Guardians
Aug 2372Cleveland Guardians
Aug 2291Cleveland Guardians
Mar 844Draw
Mar 183Cleveland Guardians

Who’s out or in doubt

13 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Cleveland Guardians
PlayerStatus
Rhys Hoskins 1BOUT
Shawn Armstrong RPOUT
Slade Cecconi SPOUT
Colorado Rockies
PlayerStatus
Ryan Feltner SPDAY-TO-DAY
Jose Quintana SPOUT
Kyle Karros 3BOUT
Kyle Freeland SPOUT
Chase Dollander SPOUT
Welinton Herrera RPOUT
McCade Brown SPOUT
RJ Petit RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Colorado Rockies @ Cleveland Guardians — model preview

Deep dive into Cleveland Guardians vs Colorado Rockies MLB game. Find value betting opportunities. Includes analysis on key players like Brenton Doyle. Check out MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Cleveland Guardians vs Colorado Rockies stats and odds.

Brenton Doyle (COL) Over 0.5 Hits (-185)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Brenton Doyle's recent performance data indicates a strong probability of him achieving over 0.5 hits in the upcoming game against the Cleveland Guardians. His last five games show an overall average of 1.8 hits, and even when playing away, his average remains solid at 1 hit. This consistency is encouraging, particularly when combined with his plate appearance averages, which are 3.8 overall and 4 when playing away. The fact that Doyle averages 1.2 hits against the Guardians specifically also strengthens the case for this bet. While his current hit streak is zero, his consistent performance in recent games suggests a high likelihood of him securing at least one hit in the upcoming game. Therefore, betting on Brenton Doyle for Over 0.5 in the Batter Hits market is a statistically sound choice.

🔒 The other 4 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Colorado Rockies vs Cleveland Guardians in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Rockies vs Guardians, or as Guardians vs Rockies. The most recent game between them was Monday 28 July 2025 at Progressive Field. The model has generated 6 game picks and 5 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 20 meetings on record
Cleveland Guardians 12–6 across the last 20 meetings · 2 draws · these games average 10.1 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
23 Aug 2026Cleveland Guardians @ Colorado Rockies3–4Cleveland Guardians
22 Aug 2026Cleveland Guardians @ Colorado Rockies1–9Cleveland Guardians
21 Aug 2026Cleveland Guardians @ Colorado Rockies1–9Cleveland Guardians
8 Mar 2026Cleveland Guardians @ Colorado Rockies4–4Draw
1 Mar 2026Colorado Rockies @ Cleveland Guardians8–3Cleveland Guardians
30 Jul 2025Colorado Rockies @ Cleveland Guardians5–0Cleveland Guardians
29 Jul 2025Colorado Rockies @ Cleveland Guardians10–4Cleveland Guardians
28 Jul 2025Colorado Rockies @ Cleveland Guardians6–8Colorado Rockies
13 Mar 2025Cleveland Guardians @ Colorado Rockies6–4Colorado Rockies
28 Feb 2025Colorado Rockies @ Cleveland Guardians3–1Cleveland Guardians

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 20 meetings on file.

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