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Model picks & player props
Cleveland Guardians
VS
Chicago White Sox

Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 1, 3:17AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago
Outdoor
Sun 9 Aug 2026, 6:10PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Cleveland Guardians -4 Spread +650

The model graded 70 markets for Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $750 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 9 Aug 2026, 6:10PM at Guaranteed Rate Field.

Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win37.1%
The price says13.3%
Best price+650
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Cleveland Guardians -4 Long-shot37% chance +650
Moneyline High77% chance
Spread Lean43% chance
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings High64% chance
Spread Long-shot12% chance
Batter - Singles × 9 props Highup to 99%
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 11 props Highup to 88%
Batter - Hits × 7 props Highup to 94%
Batter - Total Bases × 5 props Highup to 91%
Pitcher - Hits Allowed × 1 prop Highup to 74%
Batter - Walks × 7 props Highup to 96%
Batter - Runs Scored × 6 props Highup to 84%
Pitcher - Walks × 1 prop Highup to 92%
Batter - RBIs × 3 props Highup to 92%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Cleveland Guardians -3.5 · $100 returned $570

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Cleveland Guardians
-8.5
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,430+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Cleveland GuardiansSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cleveland GuardiansMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cleveland GuardiansSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cleveland GuardiansMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cleveland GuardiansSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Cleveland Guardians

  • Rhys Hoskins 1BOut
  • Shawn Armstrong RPOut
  • Slade Cecconi SPOut

Chicago White Sox

  • Drew Thorpe SPOut
  • Jordan Leasure RPOut
  • Davis Martin SPOut
  • Chris Murphy RPOut
  • Huascar Brazoban RPOut
  • Kyle Teel COut
  • Joey Bart COut
  • Prelander Berroa RPOut
  • Ky Bush SPOut
  • Mike Vasil RPOut
  • Tanner Murray LFOut
  • Brooks Baldwin LFOut

Probable pitcher

Anthony Kay SP
Availability updated Sep 1, 12:40AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 15 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability15 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Travis Bazzana CLE Batter - Singles
Travis Bazzana Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Jo Adell LAA Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Miguel Vargas Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Chase DeLauter CLE Batter - Singles

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineChicago White SoxNo line posted
0-5L5 record
L5 RF1.6L5 RA3.0Home L51-4vs Cleveland Guardians L54-1Free board8-8

Chicago White Sox moneyline form: last five 0-5, 1.6 runs/gm.

Run LineChicago White Sox run lineNo line posted
0-5L5 record
L5 RF1.6L5 RA3.0Home L51-4vs Cleveland Guardians L54-1

Chicago White Sox spread form: last five 0-5, 1.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland GuardiansNo line posted

Chicago White Sox total runs form: last five 0-5, 1.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsChicago White Sox team totalNo line posted
1.4runs we expect
L5 RF1.6L5 RA3.0Home L51-4vs Cleveland Guardians L54-1

Chicago White Sox team total runs form: last five 0-5, 1.6 runs/gm.

Cleveland Guardians @ Chicago White Sox — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Cleveland Guardians at Chicago White Sox — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox — recent results

Chicago White Sox have won 4 of their last 5 games; Cleveland Guardians have won 3 of their last 5.

Chicago White Sox — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–5MINAway
W7–4MINAway
W3–2MINAway
W10–4TEXHome
W11–7TEXHome
Cleveland Guardians — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W11–1KCHome
L3–8KCHome
L0–3KCHome
W8–6LAAAway
W4–3LAAAway

Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox — recent meetings

These two have met 10 times recently: Chicago White Sox won 6, Cleveland Guardians won 4.

DateChicago White SoxCleveland GuardiansWinner
Aug 953Chicago White Sox
Aug 863Chicago White Sox
Aug 728Cleveland Guardians
Jul 576Chicago White Sox
Jul 431Chicago White Sox
Jul 334Cleveland Guardians
Jul 256Cleveland Guardians
Jun 2434Cleveland Guardians
Jun 2321Chicago White Sox
Jun 2265Chicago White Sox

Who’s out or in doubt

15 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Chicago White Sox
PlayerStatus
Drew Thorpe SPOUT
Jordan Leasure RPOUT
Davis Martin SPOUT
Chris Murphy RPOUT
Huascar Brazoban RPOUT
Kyle Teel COUT
Joey Bart COUT
Prelander Berroa RPOUT
Cleveland Guardians
PlayerStatus
Rhys Hoskins 1BOUT
Shawn Armstrong RPOUT
Slade Cecconi SPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Cleveland Guardians @ Chicago White Sox — model preview

Our Cleveland Guardians at Chicago White Sox prediction for August 10, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 10, 2026 our model has run Cleveland Guardians at Chicago White Sox and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians: Under 15.5 Total Runs (-625), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
09 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 3.5 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 4 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 4.5 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 6 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 6.5 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 7.5 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 7 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 4.5 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 5 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 5.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Guardians vs Sox, or as Sox vs Guardians. The most recent game between them was Sunday 9 August 2026 at Guaranteed Rate Field. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 57 meetings on record
Cleveland Guardians 35–22 across the last 57 meetings · these games average 7.9 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
9 Aug 2026Cleveland Guardians @ Chicago White Sox5–3Chicago White Sox
8 Aug 2026Cleveland Guardians @ Chicago White Sox6–3Chicago White Sox
7 Aug 2026Cleveland Guardians @ Chicago White Sox2–8Cleveland Guardians
5 Jul 2026Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians6–7Chicago White Sox
4 Jul 2026Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians1–3Chicago White Sox
3 Jul 2026Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians4–3Cleveland Guardians
2 Jul 2026Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians6–5Cleveland Guardians
24 Jun 2026Cleveland Guardians @ Chicago White Sox3–4Cleveland Guardians
23 Jun 2026Cleveland Guardians @ Chicago White Sox2–1Chicago White Sox
22 Jun 2026Cleveland Guardians @ Chicago White Sox6–5Chicago White Sox

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 57 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

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