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Model picks & player props
Cleveland Guardians
VS
Chicago White Sox

Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 10, 6:22PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago
Outdoor
Sun 9 Aug 2026, 6:10PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Cleveland Guardians (Moneyline)
The model graded 70 markets for Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $180 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 76.9%, fair odds 1.30, book price -125, model edge +21.3%. Tip-off Sun 9 Aug 2026, 6:10PM at Guaranteed Rate Field.
This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Cleveland Guardians -3.5 · $100 returned $570

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 546 of 996 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 10
Under 9.5
Houston Astros @ San Diego Padres
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $170

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Moneyline
Cleveland Guardians
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Cleveland GuardiansMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cleveland GuardiansMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cleveland GuardiansSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cleveland GuardiansSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Beat the close

Closing-line value · logged
60%

Our picks beat the closing line here

On our logged picks for this event, we beat the market's closing number 60% of the time — average closing-line value +18.0%. Closing-line value is the sharpest public measure of whether a pick had real edge.

Avg CLV +18.0%

Who's out

Injuries & availability

Cleveland Guardians

  • Slade Cecconi SPOut
  • Shawn Armstrong RPOut

Probable pitcher

Joey Cantillo SP

Chicago White Sox

  • Chase Meidroth 2BDay-to-day
  • Drew Thorpe SPOut
  • Joey Bart COut
  • Chris Murphy RPOut
  • Jordan Leasure RPOut
  • Kyle Teel COut
  • Prelander Berroa RPOut
  • Ky Bush SPOut
  • Mike Vasil RPOut
  • Tanner Murray LFOut
  • Brooks Baldwin LFOut

Probable pitcher

Davis Martin SP
Availability updated Aug 9, 6:10PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 13 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability13 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Travis Bazzana CLE Batter - Singles 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Travis Bazzana Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Jo Adell LAA Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Miguel Vargas Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Chase DeLauter CLE Batter - Singles 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineChicago White SoxNo line posted
1-4L5 record
L5 RF2.2L5 RA1.4Home L51-4vs Cleveland Guardians L53-2

Chicago White Sox moneyline form: last five 1-4, 2.2 runs/gm.

Run LineChicago White Sox run lineNo line posted
1-4L5 record
L5 RF2.2L5 RA1.4Home L51-4vs Cleveland Guardians L53-2

Chicago White Sox spread form: last five 1-4, 2.2 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland GuardiansNo line posted

Chicago White Sox total runs form: last five 1-4, 2.2 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsChicago White Sox team totalNo line posted
2.3runs we expect
L5 RF2.2L5 RA1.4Home L51-4vs Cleveland Guardians L53-2

Chicago White Sox team total runs form: last five 1-4, 2.2 runs/gm.

Cleveland Guardians @ Chicago White Sox — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Cleveland Guardians at Chicago White Sox — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox — recent results

Chicago White Sox have won 2 of their last 5 games; Cleveland Guardians have won 1 of their last 5.

Chicago White Sox — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W5–3CLEHome
W6–3CLEHome
L2–8CLEHome
L11–12BOSAway
L0–4BOSAway
Cleveland Guardians — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–5CHWAway
L3–6CHWAway
W8–2CHWAway
L6–13NYMHome
L5–6NYMHome

Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox — recent meetings

These two have met 10 times recently: Chicago White Sox won 6, Cleveland Guardians won 4.

DateChicago White SoxCleveland GuardiansWinner
Aug 953Chicago White Sox
Aug 863Chicago White Sox
Aug 728Cleveland Guardians
Jul 576Chicago White Sox
Jul 431Chicago White Sox
Jul 334Cleveland Guardians
Jul 256Cleveland Guardians
Jun 2434Cleveland Guardians
Jun 2321Chicago White Sox
Jun 2265Chicago White Sox

Who’s out or in doubt

13 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Chicago White Sox
PlayerStatus
Chase Meidroth 2BDAY-TO-DAY
Drew Thorpe SPOUT
Joey Bart COUT
Chris Murphy RPOUT
Jordan Leasure RPOUT
Kyle Teel COUT
Prelander Berroa RPOUT
Ky Bush SPOUT
Cleveland Guardians
PlayerStatus
Slade Cecconi SPOUT
Shawn Armstrong RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

The umpire factor

Home-plate umpire: Alex Tosi. His games average 8.7 total runs against a league average of 8.9.

8.7
Runs in his games
8.9
League average

Alex Tosi called this game behind the plate. Across 144 games his days at the park bring a little less scoring than most.

Cleveland Guardians @ Chicago White Sox — model preview

Our Cleveland Guardians at Chicago White Sox prediction for August 10, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 10, 2026 our model has run Cleveland Guardians at Chicago White Sox and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians: Under 15.5 Total Runs (-625), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
4
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
09 Aug 26 Spread Cleveland Guardians -8.5 ✗ MISS
09 Aug 26 Moneyline Cleveland Guardians ✗ MISS
09 Aug 26 Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Cleveland Guardians ✗ MISS
09 Aug 26 Spread Cleveland Guardians +1 ✗ MISS

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Guardians vs Sox, or as Sox vs Guardians. The most recent game between them was Sunday 9 August 2026 at Guaranteed Rate Field. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

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