Deep dive into Kansas City Royals vs Pittsburgh Pirates MLB game. Find value betting opportunities. Includes analysis on key players like Andrew Heaney. Check out MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Kansas City Royals vs Pittsburgh Pirates stats and odds.
Andrew Heaney (PIT) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-400)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Andrew Heaney for Over 0.5 in the Pitcher Walks Allowed market is a strong choice based on his consistent performance data. Heaney's average walks allowed, both overall and away, have been above the line of 0.5, with an overall average of 1.2 and an away average of 1. This indicates that he typically allows at least one walk per game. Furthermore, his innings pitched and outs averages suggest he's on the mound long enough for a walk to occur. His current hit streaks, both overall and away, further bolster this bet, showing his tendency to allow hits, which can correlate with walks. Lastly, his performance against the Royals specifically also supports this bet, as he's averaged 1 walk against them. Therefore, based on Heaney's past performances, there's a strong likelihood he'll allow at least one walk in this game.
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on Bobby Witt Jr. for Under 1.5 in the Batter Hits market is a good choice, as the data suggests that he is less likely to achieve more than 1.5 hits in this game. His recent performance shows that his average hits per game, both overall and at home, are below the line of 1.5. Specifically, his last five games overall and at home average 1.2 and 1 hits respectively. Furthermore, his performance against the Pirates averages at 1 hit per game. His plate appearances (PA) also support this, with averages of 4.8 overall, 4.2 at home, and 4.6 against the Pirates, indicating fewer opportunities to achieve hits. Despite a current hit streak, the averages suggest it's less likely for him to exceed 1.5 hits in this game.
Bobby Witt Jr. (KCR) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-588)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Bobby Witt Jr. for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a good choice due to his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Witt Jr. has an average stolen base rate of 0.4, both overall and at home, indicating he typically does not steal more than half a base per game. Furthermore, when facing the Pittsburgh Pirates, Witt Jr.'s stolen base average drops to zero. His overall current hit streak is also at zero, suggesting he might struggle to get on base to even attempt a steal. Additionally, the average caught stealing (Cs) rates are low, meaning there is not a high risk of him getting caught if he attempts to steal. All these factors suggest that it's statistically unlikely for Witt Jr. to steal a base in this game, making the Under 0.5 bet a solid choice.
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