On Tuesday 29 September 2026, Indiana Fever play Las Vegas Aces in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Indiana Fever +1.5 on the Line, priced at -125 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Indiana Fever +1.5 on the Line (-125)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The Indiana Fever have been playing well lately, winning 4 of their last 6 games and scoring a strong 96 points on average. They'll face the Las Vegas Aces, who are also on a hot streak, winning their last 6 games and putting up 91 points per game. This matchup looks very close, almost like a coin flip. The Fever have home advantage, and our numbers suggest they could cover the +1.5 points spread. However, the Aces are a tough opponent, and that makes this a risky pick. It was priced at -125 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Under 193 Total Points (-278)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The odds for under 193 total points look good because our numbers suggest a much lower combined score of around 167.5. The Indiana Fever have been on a decent run, winning 4 of their last 6 games and scoring 96 points a game recently. However, the Las Vegas Aces are also in great form, winning all of their last 6 games and averaging 91.3 points. Both teams are strong, but there's a real chance they might struggle to keep the scoring high tonight. Just remember, this game could go either way, especially with both teams playing solid defense. It was priced at -278 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.60 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
A'ja Wilson Under 42.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-110)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
A'ja Wilson is a fantastic player, but we think she'll score less than 42.5 when combining her points, rebounds, and assists. She has been great in night games, averaging 29.5 when you add those stats up, but the Fever have been playing solid defense lately. They've won 4 of their last 6 games, and that could make it tougher for Wilson to hit those big numbers. The Las Vegas Aces have also been on a roll, winning 6 games in a row, but Wilson's daylight stats show she averages a bit less in those games. It's a close matchup, and the Fever's recent form means they could really challenge her. Just keep in mind that any game can surprise you! It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Aliyah Boston has been a key player for the Indiana Fever, but she has struggled to find her rhythm against strong teams like the Las Vegas Aces. With the Aces winning six games in a row and holding opponents to low scores, this matchup could be tough for her. Boston averages just over 1 three-pointer at home, but her scoring might take a hit against this defense. While she's been solid on rebounds and assists, the Aces' strong performance makes it likely she'll stay under 15.5 points. The risk here is that Boston could have a breakout game, but with the Aces playing so well, it seems more likely she won't hit that mark tonight. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Chelsea Gray Under 22.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-109)
Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing
Chelsea Gray has been on fire lately, especially in daylight games where she scores more points and gets more assists. However, against the Indiana Fever, she might face a tougher challenge. The Fever have won four of their last six games and are known for their solid defense, which could limit Gray's overall contributions. While Gray's numbers look great, the Fever's strong play could keep her from reaching 22.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists. The risk here is how well the Fever have been defending lately, which could make it hard for Gray to hit that mark. So, this bet could be a smart choice with a good chance. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Indiana Fever v Las Vegas Aces. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
Unlock the rest of this one
You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.
Unlock the full article