On Wednesday 30 September 2026, Washington Mystics play Atlanta Dream in the WNBA. Our model likes 4 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 172.5 Total Points, priced at -233 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Under 172.5 Total Points (-233)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The Washington Mystics are on a hot streak, winning 8 of their last 10 games and scoring around 84 points each game. Meanwhile, the Atlanta Dream have also been strong, winning 9 of their last 10. However, they have faced teams with a pretty average record, which makes their recent success a bit less impressive. With both teams playing solid defense and our numbers suggesting a combined score closer to 156 points, betting on the total points being under 172.5 seems smart. Just remember, this game could still surprise us, especially with both teams playing well lately. It was priced at -233 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.30 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Jordin Canada Over 14.5 Points and Rebounds (+110)
Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing
Jordin Canada has been on fire lately, averaging impressive points and assists. With the Mystics scoring 84 points a game, there should be plenty of chances for her to rack up points and rebounds. Both teams have been winning a lot recently, making this matchup exciting. However, the Atlanta Dream have faced tougher teams, which could challenge her a bit. Still, I think she can go over 14.5 combined points and rebounds, especially considering her strong performance at night. It's a close call, but I like this bet for Canada. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Naz Hillmon Over 3.5 Rebounds (+110)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
Naz Hillmon has been playing really well lately, especially at home. She's been averaging about 11 points and assists combined at night, which shows she's involved in the game. With the Mystics scoring 84 points a game, there should be plenty of opportunities for her to grab those rebounds. The matchup is pretty close, though, since both teams are on a hot streak, with Atlanta also winning 9 of their last 10 games. The biggest concern is how well Atlanta has performed against tougher teams. Still, I like Naz to go over 3.5 rebounds tonight. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Angel Reese Over 17.5 Points and Assists (-110)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
For this game, Angel Reese needs to score points and get assists, and we're hoping she'll go over 17.5 combined. She has been really strong at night, averaging over 23 points and assists in those games, which shows she can deliver when it counts. The Washington Mystics have been on a roll, winning 8 of their last 10, and they're scoring a lot, making it likely Reese gets plenty of chances to shine. The Atlanta Dream are no slouches either, having won 9 of their last 10 games, so this will be a tough matchup. However, Reese has been more effective when the lights are on, and the Mystics' scoring pace could help her out. The biggest risk here is that both teams are playing great basketball right now, which could make things close. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Washington Mystics v Atlanta Dream. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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