On Monday 28 September 2026, Golden State Valkyries play Dallas Wings in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 154 Total Points, priced at -108 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Over 154 Total Points (-108)
Odds available at LowVig at time of publishing
The Golden State Valkyries are playing strong, winning 7 of their last 10 games. They have faced tough opponents lately, but that hasn't slowed them down. The Dallas Wings are also on a roll, scoring an impressive 89.4 points a game this season. This matchup has the makings of a high-scoring affair, and the total points line is set at 154. With both teams scoring well and strong recent form, betting on the total points to go over 154 makes sense. The close competition means this game could easily swing either way. The biggest risk is that both teams might have an off night, but with their scoring averages, I think they'll light it up. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Dallas Wings +7 on the Line (-105)
Odds available at Bovada at time of publishing
The Dallas Wings and Golden State Valkyries both come into this game hot, each winning five of their last six matches. The Wings are scoring a solid 89.1 points per game, while the Valkyries are putting up 82.3. This matchup is tight, and the Wings have a decent shot to keep it close, especially since our numbers suggest the final margin could be just a couple of points. Taking the Wings with a 7-point cushion is a smart move. With both teams having similar recent success, it's possible that the Wings could surprise us and keep the game within that spread. The biggest risk is that the Valkyries are playing at home, which can give them an advantage. It was priced at -105 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.50 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Arike Ogunbowale Over 20.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-110)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
You can get Arike Ogunbowale to score over 20.5 points, rebounds, and assists at almost even odds. Both the Golden State Valkyries and the Dallas Wings have been playing well lately, winning five of their last six games. Ogunbowale is part of a high-scoring Dallas team that averages 89.1 points, and she's a big part of that success. The risk here is that both teams are closely matched, making this a tough game. However, Ogunbowale has been consistently involved in the action, which gives her a good chance to hit that mark. With the way she's been playing, it's worth taking a shot on this bet. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Cecilia Zandalasini is facing off against the Dallas Wings, who have been scoring a lot lately. The Wings score an impressive 89.1 points per game, while the Valkyries are not far behind at 82.3 points per game. This matchup looks promising for Zandalasini, especially since she has a good shot of getting over 7.5 points. Both teams are in good form, having won 5 of their last 6 games, which means they will be motivated to keep the scoring high. However, the risk is that the Wings are also a strong team, and this could lead to a tight game where every point counts. Even so, Zandalasini has the opportunity to shine in this exciting matchup. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Jessica Shepard Over 15.5 Rebounds and Assists (-110)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Jessica Shepard is playing for the Golden State Valkyries, who have been on fire lately, winning 5 of their last 6 games. They are scoring a solid 82.3 points per game this season, which shows their offense is in good shape. This matchup against the Dallas Wings, who are also scoring well with 89.1 points per game, should lead to a lot of action on the court. Betting on Shepard to get over 15.5 rebounds and assists seems like a smart move. Both teams are close in form, making this a tough game, and that's the biggest risk here. Still, with all the scoring opportunities, Shepard could find plenty of chances to rack up those numbers. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Golden State Valkyries v Dallas Wings. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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