Minnesota Lynx vs New York Liberty Prediction & Picks (Kayla McBride Key Factor): Odds Analysis & Top Props

The Minnesota Lynx have been playing strong defense lately, which makes me think this game will have lower scoring. I'm picking the total points to be under 184.5. Our numbers suggest a combined score closer to 162.9, so that's a solid gap. The Lynx have a better net score difference, and they also have less travel distance, which can help keep their energy up. However, the New York Liberty are also a tough team, so there's a chance they could push the score higher than expected. It was priced at -227 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.40 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Kayla McBride Over 19.5 Points and Assists (-110)

Kayla McBride has been on a roll lately, showing strong scoring and passing skills in her recent games. She's been averaging more free throws made than usual, which suggests she's getting to the basket more often. With the Minnesota Lynx playing at home in the Target Center, they'll be looking to put on a show for their fans against the New York Liberty. While McBride is in good form, the game could be close, so she'll need to not only score but also rack up assists. The Liberty can be tough on defense, which adds some risk to this pick. Still, considering her recent performance, betting on her to score over 19.5 points and assists looks promising. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Leonie Fiebich Over 5.5 Rebounds and Assists (-110)

Leonie Fiebich has been showing some solid play lately, with her rebounding and assists numbers trending in a positive direction. In her recent games, she's been grabbing around two offensive rebounds and contributing more assists than usual. Given the way both teams play, it looks like she could easily hit over five and a half combined rebounds and assists. The New York Liberty can be tough, so it's not a guaranteed win. However, the odds suggest there's a good chance Fiebich will meet this mark. Just keep an eye on how she performs today, especially since she's been a bit inconsistent with steals and turnovers. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Sabrina Ionescu Over 5.5 Assists (+111)

Sabrina Ionescu has been on fire lately, showcasing her playmaking skills and racking up assists regularly. With her ability to create chances for her teammates, I believe she can get over 5.5 assists against the Minnesota Lynx. The Lynx's defense has struggled a bit lately, which should give her more opportunities to dish out those assists. However, this matchup is tight, and the Lynx could put up a strong fight. Ionescu's recent numbers show she's just shy of hitting this mark, so it's definitely not a sure thing. Still, with her current form and the way the Lynx have been defending, I'm feeling hopeful about this pick. It was priced at +111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.10 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Minnesota Lynx v New York Liberty. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.