New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction & Picks (Pauline Astier Key Factor): Our Expert Analysis

The New York Liberty have been playing well lately, winning 6 of their last 10 games. They've faced tough competition, which makes their recent form even more impressive. On the other hand, the Minnesota Lynx have also won 6 of their last 10, but they're scoring fewer points recently, averaging just over 90 points a game this season. The combined total points in this matchup is expected to be around 160, so betting on under 177.5 seems smart. The biggest risk is that both teams can surprise with their scoring, but the Liberty's tough schedule gives them a solid chance to keep the total lower. It was priced at -175 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.70 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Pauline Astier Under 6.5 Rebounds and Assists (+110)

Pauline Astier has been playing pretty well lately, but she's also been up against tough competition. The New York Liberty have faced clubs with a strong overall record, making every game challenging. This means Astier might find it harder to rack up rebounds and assists against a solid Minnesota Lynx team that has also been winning games. With both teams having a similar recent performance, the odds look pretty even. However, Astier's numbers suggest she might not hit more than 6.5 combined rebounds and assists today. The biggest risk here is that she could surprise everyone and have a big game, but based on what we've seen, this bet seems like a smart choice. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jonquel Jones Under 13.5 Points (-110)

New York Liberty face off against Minnesota Lynx, and this matchup could be tricky for Jonquel Jones. Even though she's been reliable overall, she tends to score a bit less during nighttime games. Plus, the Lynx's recent performances show they can hold their opponents to lower scores, making it tougher for Jones to hit her points mark. Betting on Jonquel Jones to score under 13.5 points seems like a solid choice here. Considering she's averaging 14.7 points at night but has struggled a bit in this setting, it feels like a close call. The Lynx are also known for their strong defense, which adds to the risk of this bet not winning. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Napheesa Collier Under 25.5 Points and Rebounds (-110)

Tonight, we need Napheesa Collier to score fewer than 25.5 points and rebounds combined. The New York Liberty have faced some tough teams recently, and Collier's performance at night shows she often doesn't hit high numbers. She averages about 14.7 points at night, which leaves less room for her to add rebounds and reach that 25.5 mark. While Collier can be a strong player, remember that the Minnesota Lynx have struggled lately, winning only 2 of their last 6 games. This matchup could be tricky since both teams are in a close battle for wins. If the game is tight, it might limit Collier's chances to rack up those stats. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads New York Liberty v Minnesota Lynx. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.