As the Utah Jazz gear up to face the Washington Wizards, all eyes will be on Ace Bailey, particularly when it comes to his three-point shooting. The young sharpshooter has been on fire lately, but let's take a closer look at the numbers. Over his last 20 games, Bailey has hit the under 3.5 threes in a solid 14 of those matchups, showcasing his tendency to fall short of that threshold. At home, he's even more reliable, hitting the under 15 times in his last 20 appearances. With an expected stat value of just 2.68 threes, it's clear that he might not find his rhythm against a Washington defense that's shown the ability to pressure shooters effectively. With the implied probability sitting at 53.2%, it feels smart to lean into the under as Bailey could struggle to exceed 3.5 threes on this night.
Jamir Watkins (Washington Wizards) Under 1.5 Threes Made (-182)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishingAs the Washington Wizards gear up for their matchup against the Utah Jazz, all eyes should be on Jamir Watkins and his three-point shooting. While he's had a decent run lately, hitting the mark in four of his last five games, his overall trend away from home tells a different story. With a hit rate of just 10 out of 13 in his last 20 away games, it's clear that the road hasn't been kind to him, especially when facing a stout Jazz defense that thrives on limiting perimeter shots. Adding to that, Watkins' expected stat value sits at only 0.79 for this game, suggesting he'll struggle to find his rhythm from beyond the arc. At an implied probability of 64.5% for the under, it's hard to ignore the likelihood that Watkins will fall short of the 1.5 threes made in this one.
Will Riley (Washington Wizards) Under 2.5 Threes Made (-270)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishingAs the Utah Jazz gear up to face the Washington Wizards, all eyes should be on Will Riley's three-point shooting. While he's had a solid season, the numbers suggest this might be a night to fade him on threes. With an overall hit rate of 17 out of his last 20 games, Riley has been reliable - but that's not the full story. Playing away from home, he's been particularly subdued, hitting the under on 2.5 threes in all of his last three road games. It's worth noting that the Wizards, known for tightening perimeter defense, are likely to challenge Riley's rhythm. With an implied probability of 73% for hitting the under, and the data leaning heavily in that direction, this matchup could see him struggle to find his range. Betting the under seems like the smart play as he navigates a tough environment.
Jaden Hardy (Washington Wizards) Under 3.5 Threes Made (-270)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishingWhen it comes to Jaden Hardy and his three-point shooting against the Jazz, the evidence suggests a cautious approach. In his recent outings, he's averaged just 2.6 threes on the road, a sharp contrast to the 3.2 he's netting overall in his last five games. The matchup against the Jazz has historically been tough for him; he's only managed 1.4 threes per game against them, and on the road, that drops to just 1. With a staggering hit rate of 17 out of his last 20 games, it's clear Hardy has been solid, but the odds are stacked against him in this specific matchup. Given how he's only hit this mark once in his last eight away games, placing a bet on the under at 3.5 threes feels like a prudent move. The Jazz's defense may just be the challenge he needs to keep him below that threshold.
John Konchar (Utah Jazz) Under 7.5 Rebounds (-333)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishingAs the Utah Jazz gear up to face the Washington Wizards, all eyes should be on John Konchar's rebounding numbers, particularly as we consider the under on his 7.5 total. At home, he's been consistent but less prolific, averaging just 4.4 boards in his last five outings. Even against the Wizards, who typically struggle on the boards, he's only managed 6.5 rebounds per game at home recently. With a significant hit rate of 19 out of 20 games hitting the under at home, it's tough to see Konchar suddenly breaking through a number that's beyond his recent performance. Plus, the Jazz are likely to see an uptick in outside shooting, which could lead to fewer opportunities for Konchar. With an expected value of just 3.99 rebounds and solid backing from recent performance trends, betting the under seems like a savvy call here.
Cody Williams (Utah Jazz) Under 4.5 Rebounds (+113)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishingAs the Utah Jazz gear up to face the Washington Wizards, all eyes will be on Cody Williams and his rebounding performance. While he averages a solid 4.4 boards over his last five games, his home stats tell a different story. At home, he's only grabbing 1.8 rebounds per game, with a mere 1 rebound against the Wizards during their last matchup. With the Jazz focusing on perimeter play, and given that Williams has hit the under on 4.5 rebounds in 8-of-8 games at home, it seems likely that he'll fall short again. The trend is clear; he's not just struggling to hit 4.5 at home, but he's also been consistently below that mark against this specific opponent. For a player expected to grab just 3.82 boards, betting the under feels like a smart move.