On Tuesday 22 September 2026, Washington Mystics play Connecticut Sun in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 160 Total Points, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
The bet needs both teams to score enough points to go over 160 tonight. The Washington Mystics are in good form, winning 6 of their last 10 games and averaging 83.5 points per game this season. On the other hand, the Connecticut Sun have struggled lately, winning just 2 of their last 10 games and putting up only 77.4 points per game on average. While the Mystics are looking strong, the close matchup means the Sun could surprise. Still, with Washington's recent scoring ability, it's likely they can push the total up. Our numbers suggest a combined total of about 163.7, which gives a decent chance for this bet to hit. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Connecticut Sun +16.5 on the Line (-105)
Odds available at BetMGM at time of publishing
The Washington Mystics are on a roll, winning 4 of their last 6 games and scoring an impressive 83.5 points per game this season. In contrast, the Connecticut Sun have really struggled lately, only winning 1 of their last 6 games and scoring just 78.5 points on average. Even so, this bet on the Sun to lose by less than 16.5 points seems solid because our numbers suggest the Mystics will win by about 10.5 points. The risk here is that the Mystics could pull off a bigger win, but the Sun might surprise us and keep it closer than expected. It was priced at -105 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.50 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Georgia Amoore Over 7.5 Points (-111)
Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing
Georgia Amoore has been stepping up her game for the Washington Mystics, scoring well and contributing to the team's recent success. The Mystics have won 6 of their last 10 games and are putting up an impressive average of 83.5 points. In contrast, the Connecticut Sun are struggling, winning only 2 of their last 10 and averaging just 77.4 points. This sets up a good opportunity for Amoore to surpass 7.5 points. The biggest risk here is how closely matched some of these games can be, but Amoore's strong form and the Mystics' scoring power make this bet worth considering. With the Mystics playing at home and looking to keep their momentum going, there's a good chance she can hit the mark. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Sonia Citron Under 19.5 Points and Rebounds (-109)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Sonia Citron needs to score points and grab rebounds, but we think she will end up with fewer than 19.5 combined tonight. The Washington Mystics are on a roll, winning four of their last six games and scoring well. In contrast, the Connecticut Sun have really struggled lately, winning only two of their last ten. This makes it tougher for Citron to get her numbers up. Plus, Citron's team hasn't been great at grabbing offensive rebounds, which could limit her chances. The Mystics are also pretty solid defensively, making it harder for her to shine. While there's always a chance she surprises us, the way both teams have been playing leans towards a lower total for her. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Aaliyah Edwards Over 17.5 Points and Rebounds (-112)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
The odds for Aaliyah Edwards to score over 17.5 points and rebounds look pretty good, especially since the Washington Mystics have been on a roll lately. They've won 7 of their last 10 games and are scoring an impressive average of 83.7 points per game. Edwards has a good chance to shine in this matchup, especially since the Connecticut Sun have struggled, winning only 2 of their last 10 games.
However, the Sun do have a solid defense, and that could make things tricky for Edwards. Still, with the Mystics' recent scoring form and the Sun's challenges, this bet feels promising. Let's hope Edwards steps up and delivers! It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Washington Mystics v Connecticut Sun. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.