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Model picks & player props
MLB
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC)
Outdoor
Sun 21 Jun 2026, 1:35 PM ET
Cincinnati Reds
VS
New York Yankees

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 20 markets for Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees and backs New York Yankees -2.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $385.

20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
New York Yankees
to win by 3+ runs
New York Yankees -2.5 Spread
You bet$10 If it wins$38.50Best price+285
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win52.6%
The price says26.0%

The model graded 20 markets for Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $385 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 21 Jun 2026, 1:35 PM ET at Yankee Stadium.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread New York Yankees -2.5 Lean53% chance +285
Spread Members only High62% chance Members
Moneyline Members only High76% chance Members
Total Runs Members only Lean55% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Cincinnati Reds and New York Yankees last met on Sun 21 Jun 2026: Cincinnati Reds won 4-1. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
New York Yankees
-2.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Cincinnati Reds

  • Spencer Steer 1BOut
  • Dane Myers CFOut
  • Tony Santillan RPOut
  • Chase Burns SPOut
  • Julian Garcia RPOut
  • Blake Dunn CFOut
  • Hunter Greene SPOut

New York Yankees

  • Aaron Judge RFOut
  • Clarke Schmidt SPOut
  • Fernando Cruz RPOut
  • Kervin Castro RPOut
Availability updated Oct 3, 4:19PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 11 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability11 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNew York YankeesNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF5.6L5 RA4.2Home L54-1vs Cincinnati Reds L52-3

New York Yankees moneyline form: last five 2-3, 5.6 runs/gm.

Run LineNew York Yankees run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF5.6L5 RA4.2Home L54-1vs Cincinnati Reds L52-3

New York Yankees spread form: last five 2-3, 5.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · New York Yankees vs Cincinnati RedsNo line posted

New York Yankees total runs form: last five 2-3, 5.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsNew York Yankees team totalNo line posted
5.2runs we expect
L5 RF5.6L5 RA4.2Home L54-1vs Cincinnati Reds L52-3

New York Yankees team total runs form: last five 2-3, 5.6 runs/gm.

Cincinnati Reds @ New York Yankees — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Cincinnati Reds at New York Yankees — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees — recent results

New York Yankees have won 2 of their last 5 games; Cincinnati Reds have won 2 of their last 5.

New York Yankees — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–4TBHome
L2–5TBAway
L0–1TBAway
W9–2BOSHome
W9–0BOSHome
Cincinnati Reds — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–5TORAway
W5–1TORAway
L5–6TORAway
W7–6ATLAway
L2–3ATLAway

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games New York Yankees are scoring 6.0 runs per game (4-1) while Cincinnati Reds are at 5.4 (3-2); New York Yankees pitchers are allowing 0.4 earned runs per game versus 2.6 for Cincinnati Reds.

6.0
New York Yankees runs/G
5.4
Cincinnati Reds runs/G
Last 5 gamesNew York YankeesCincinnati Reds
Runs / game6.05.4
Hits / game7.85.6
Home runs / game2.01.0
Walks drawn / game1.42.2
Batter K / game4.05.4
Earned runs allowed / game0.42.6
Pitching K / game5.03.2
Walks allowed / game0.41.8
L5 record4-13-2

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: New York Yankees won 1, Cincinnati Reds won 2.

DateNew York YankeesCincinnati RedsWinner
Jun 2114Cincinnati Reds
Jun 20210Cincinnati Reds
Jun 1950New York Yankees

Who’s out or in doubt

11 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

New York Yankees
PlayerStatus
Aaron Judge RFOUT
Clarke Schmidt SPOUT
Fernando Cruz RPOUT
Kervin Castro RPOUT
Cincinnati Reds
PlayerStatus
Spencer Steer 1BOUT
Dane Myers CFOUT
Tony Santillan RPOUT
Chase Burns SPOUT
Julian Garcia RPOUT
Blake Dunn CFOUT
Hunter Greene SPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Cincinnati Reds @ New York Yankees — model preview

Latest MLB betting preview: New York Yankees vs Cincinnati Reds. Get predictions and top picks. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Keywords: MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, New York Yankees vs Cincinnati Reds stats and odds.

New York Yankees vs Cincinnati Reds : Over 8.5 Total Runs (-105)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

🔒 The other 3 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Reds vs Yankees, or as Yankees vs Reds. The most recent game between them was Sunday 21 June 2026 at Yankee Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees head-to-head record

Final scores · 12 meetings on record
Cincinnati Reds 7–5 across the last 12 meetings · these games average 8.0 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Sun 21 Jun 2026, Cincinnati Reds at New York Yankees: the Reds won 4-1.

DateGameScoreWinner
21 Jun 2026Cincinnati Reds @ New York Yankees1–4Cincinnati Reds
20 Jun 2026Cincinnati Reds @ New York Yankees2–10Cincinnati Reds
19 Jun 2026Cincinnati Reds @ New York Yankees5–0New York Yankees
25 Jun 2025New York Yankees @ Cincinnati Reds1–7New York Yankees
24 Jun 2025New York Yankees @ Cincinnati Reds5–4Cincinnati Reds
23 Jun 2025New York Yankees @ Cincinnati Reds6–1Cincinnati Reds
4 Jul 2024Cincinnati Reds @ New York Yankees4–8Cincinnati Reds
3 Jul 2024Cincinnati Reds @ New York Yankees2–3Cincinnati Reds
2 Jul 2024Cincinnati Reds @ New York Yankees4–5Cincinnati Reds
21 May 2023New York Yankees @ Cincinnati Reds1–4New York Yankees

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 12 meetings on file.

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