Here are our EPL picks for Friday 6 November 2026. Our model likes 10 bets here. The one it likes most is Newcastle United +0.75 Goal Handicap, priced at -179 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Looking for the best Premier League picks for same-game parlays this weekend? Here are the 5 multis our model likes most for the upcoming round, built only from legs where our number beats the price.

Fulham vs Newcastle United: Newcastle United +0.75 Goal Handicap (-179)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Fulham prepares to host Newcastle United, the recent form of both teams paints a compelling picture. Newcastle, despite a couple of draws, has shown resilience, especially away, where they've secured two wins in their last five matches. Fulham's home record has been shaky, evidenced by their mixed 2-2-1 run, where they've only averaged a goal a game. When we look at the expected goals, both teams are struggling to convert chances into clear threats, but Newcastle's attack has been slightly more potent, averaging 1.2 goals per game away. Fulham, on the other hand, has averaged just 1.6 goals at home but has conceded 1.4. Given Newcastle's stronger head-to-head record against Fulham, coupled with their ability to grind out results, backing them with a 0.75 handicap seems like a savvy wager.

Fulham vs Newcastle United: Over 1.5 Total Goals (-476)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Fulham prepares to face Newcastle United, the signs point to an entertaining clash. Both teams have recently shown a knack for finding the back of the net, averaging around 1.6 goals at home and 1.2 on the road in their last five outings. Fulham's home scoring average is promising, coupled with their solid record against Newcastle, boasting three wins in their last five encounters. Newcastle, while struggling with consistency, has also been involved in games that often see goals, especially away where they concede an average of 2 per match. With Fulham's recent form suggesting they're capable of at least two goals at Craven Cottage, and Newcastle's tendency to respond, betting on over 1.5 goals feels like a smart play. The stage is set for a lively match, and with both teams keen to secure points, we're likely to see the goals flow.

Everton vs Coventry City: Under 3.5 Total Goals (-227)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Everton gears up to host Coventry City, the under 3.5 total goals market stands out as a savvy bet. Recent form suggests both teams are struggling to find the net consistently. Everton has averaged just 0.8 goals in their last five matches, with a mere 1.2 goals conceded per game at home. Their xG stats paint a similar picture, indicating a lack of attacking threat. On the flip side, Coventry, while notching up some wins, has also been tight-lipped offensively, averaging just 1.2 goals on the road. Both teams' defensive structures have been relatively solid, with Everton's opponents managing an average of 1.4 goals against them at home. With these trends, a low-scoring affair seems likely, making the under 3.5 goals a compelling wager. Expect a tactical battle rather than a free-scoring showdown.

Everton vs Coventry City: Coventry City +1 Goal Handicap (-154)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Everton prepares to welcome Coventry City, the recent form of both teams paints a telling picture. Everton's home record shows a lack of offensive spark, averaging just 1.2 goals per game at Goodison Park, while their defense has allowed 1.4. Conversely, Coventry, riding high with a solid away record of three wins in their last five, boasts an impressive 1.8 goals per game overall. They've proven adept at navigating tough fixtures, scoring 1.2 away from home. Moreover, if we delve into the underlying numbers, Coventry's ability to create chances-averaging 11.2 shots per match-contrasts sharply with Everton's struggles to find the net. With a goal difference favoring Coventry and recent performances suggesting they can at least hold their own, backing Coventry City with a handicap of +1 looks like a savvy play. Their momentum coupled with Everton's inconsistency makes this an enticing bet.

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City: Over 3.5 Total Cards (+105)

Odds correct at time of publishing

When Nottingham Forest faces Manchester City, expect a feisty affair that leans towards the card-laden side. Nottingham's recent struggles at home, with a dismal 0-2-3 record, suggest they'll be under immense pressure. They average over 14 fouls per game at home, indicating a physical approach to try and stifle City's attacking prowess. Manchester City, for their part, are no strangers to discipline issues either; their last few outings have seen them averaging around 12 fouls. The sheer intensity of this matchup, combined with Nottingham's defensive tactics to handle City's fluid play, points towards an over 3.5 cards total. Both teams are likely to push the limits of the referees, making this bet not just reasonable, but a tantalizing prospect as the tension builds on the pitch. Expect a thrilling clash where cards could fly as both teams battle fiercely for points.

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City: Nottingham Forest +0.75 Goal Handicap (-115)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Nottingham Forest prepares to host Manchester City, they find themselves in a tough spot, but there's a glimmer of hope for a competitive showing. While their recent home record shows a struggle with just one draw in the last five, they've been defensively resilient, conceding only 0.8 goals per home game. City, on the other hand, boasts a potent attack averaging 2 goals away, but they often find it difficult to break down stubborn defenses like Forest's. Notably, Forest has played City closely in their last five encounters, managing a win and two draws, suggesting they can rise to the occasion. With an alternate handicap of 0.75, backing Forest could be a savvy play, especially if they can channel their home support and disrupt City's rhythm. A spirited effort and a tight contest seem likely, making this bet an intriguing prospect for those looking for value.

Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur: Over 1.5 Total Goals (-312)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Leeds United prepares to host Tottenham Hotspur, the stage is set for a game that promises goals. Leeds, despite a rocky recent home form, has shown they can be dangerous, averaging 1.4 goals at home, while Spurs travel well, having scored a solid 2 goals per game in their last five outings. Leeds' attacking output might seem low lately, but they've faced some tough defenses, and their shot volume (averaging 11.8 at home) suggests they're bound to break through sooner rather than later. Meanwhile, Tottenham has been consistently finding the net, pulling off a 4-1 record against Leeds in their last five encounters. With both teams eager to assert themselves, betting on over 1.5 goals feels like a smart play here. The trends indicate a high chance of a lively match, making this an appealing wager for any soccer enthusiast.

Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur: Leeds United Moneyline (+180)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Leeds United prepares to host Tottenham, there's a palpable sense of opportunity in the air. While Leeds' recent home form hasn't dazzled-managing only two wins in their last five at Elland Road-they've been steadily improving, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per home match. Their defensive resilience is noteworthy too, conceding just 0.6 goals on average at home. Conversely, Tottenham, despite a solid away record, has been less convincing, averaging just 0.8 goals in their last five away fixtures. They've struggled to convert chances into meaningful threats, which could play into Leeds' hands. The historical context, combined with their upward trend, suggests this could be a pivotal match for the home side.

Arsenal vs Hull City: Hull City +2 Goal Handicap (-110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Arsenal prepares to host Hull City, it's worth noting the Gunners' recent home dominance, boasting an impressive 5-0-0 record at the Emirates. However, Hull City, despite struggling on the road, has shown resilience, particularly in their last five away matches, managing to score 1.2 goals per game. Notably, Hull's xG numbers, though not stellar, have steadily improved, hinting at untapped potential. While Arsenal's defense has been solid, allowing just 0.4 goals per home game, Hull's ability to find the back of the net, combined with Arsenal's slight inconsistency, suggests a two-goal handicap could be more manageable for the Tigers. With Hull's recent upward trend, they could very well keep the scoreline respectable, making a bet on Hull City +2 an intriguing proposition.

Arsenal vs Hull City: Under 4.5 Total Goals (-385)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Arsenal prepares to host Hull City, the forecast for goals looks rather conservative. Arsenal has showcased their defensive prowess, conceding just 0.4 goals per game at home over the last five matches, while Hull's struggles on the road are evident, averaging only 1.2 goals scored in their last five away outings. With Arsenal's last home games yielding an average of just 2 goals scored, it's clear that their attack is currently more effective at controlling the game than running up the score. Additionally, Hull's recent form indicates they struggle to penetrate well-structured defenses, often finishing games with low xG numbers. Given these trends, betting on under 4.5 total goals feels like the smart play here. In a matchup where both teams seem to favor a tighter contest, expect a game that could very well end in a 2-0 or 1-1 scenario.

That is the model's read on today's EPL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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