Lamar Jackson (BAL) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+175)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The statistics suggest a betting caution on Lamar Jackson to score a touchdown at any time in the game against the New York Jets. His overall hit rate is relatively low at 10 touchdowns in 56 games, and his home hit rate is not much better at 5 touchdowns in 27 games. His performance against the Jets has been particularly poor with no touchdowns in a single game. More concerning are his recent trends. In the last 20 games, he has only scored twice and hasn't scored at all in the last 10 games. His hit rate at home in the last 20 games is slightly better at 3 touchdowns, but it's still a poor return. His current hit streaks in all categories are at zero, meaning he hasn't scored in his recent games. Therefore, the data doesn't favor Lamar Jackson to score a touchdown in this game.

Mark Andrews (BAL) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+150)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The statistics suggest caution when betting on Mark Andrews to score a touchdown anytime in the game between the Baltimore Ravens and the New York Jets. Andrews has been in a slump recently, failing to score in his last five games overall, his last three home games, and his last game against the Jets. In fact, his overall hit rate for the last 20 games is only 35% (7/20), and his home hit rate drops to 30% (6/20) for the same period. Over his entire career, he has a success rate of just 32% (18/56), which drops further to 29% (8/28) at home and 0% (0/1) against the Jets. Given these stats, it seems the model's edge of 0.102 may be overestimating Andrews' chances. Therefore, it might be best to bet against Andrews scoring a touchdown in this game.

Zay Flowers (BAL) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+150)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Zay Flowers to score a touchdown at any time during the Baltimore Ravens vs New York Jets game appears to be a risky proposition based on statistical trends. Flowers' recent and overall performance does not indicate a strong likelihood of him scoring. His overall hit rate is just under 18% (8/45), while his home hit rate is slightly better at around 17% (4/23). However, in the recent games, his hit rate is dismal, with no touchdowns scored in the last 5 games, and only one in the last 10 home games. The model edge of 0.102270268260381 suggests a marginal advantage, but the consistency of Flowers' performance does not inspire confidence. Based on these statistics, betting on Flowers to score in this game would be against the recent trends and hit rates.

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