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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Will Brodie is Over 18.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 74%, versus the book's implied 68%, for a model edge of +6.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 24, 1:21AM UTC
AFL

Will Brodie

Fremantle

+6.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 18.5 -213 (1.47)
+6.2% Edge
West Coast Eagles @ Port Adelaide Power
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sun 29 Mar, 1:30AM
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Model Probability
74.3%
Implied Probability
68.0%
Model Edge
+6.2%
Predicted Value
21.8 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals74.3%68.0%1.35+6.2%

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AI Analysis

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Will Brodie (Fremantle) Over 18.5 Disposals (-213)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to surpass his disposal line, you want a consistent ball magnet like Will Brodie in your corner. Stepping onto Adelaide Oval, Brodie brings a track record that demands attention. Over his last five away clashes, he's been a disposal-gathering machine, averaging a healthy 21.6 possessions per game. His ability to find the ball in contested situations (9.4 avg) and efficiently distribute it (69.6% disposal efficiency) sets him apart. Facing Port Adelaide, who he's recently tallied an impressive 27 disposals against, Brodie is primed to shine. Factor in his current hit streak of two games and a solid hit rate of 13 out of his last 15 away matches, and the signs point to him exceeding the 18.5 disposal line comfortably. Trust Brodie to deliver the goods and fill up the stat sheet once more.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 4(75%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted

Will Brodie - AFL Disposals market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
29 Mar 26 West Coast Eagles @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 18.5 Over -213 ✗ MISS
29 Mar 26 West Coast Eagles @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 17.5 Over -303 ✓ HIT
29 Mar 26 West Coast Eagles @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 16.5 Over -455 ✓ HIT
29 Mar 26 West Coast Eagles @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Will Brodie (Fremantle) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Will Brodie is Over 18.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.2% on this pick. Their next game is West Coast Eagles vs Port Adelaide Power on Sunday 29 March at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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