Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Sabrina Ionescu is Over 4.5 on Assists (Alt).
On Assists (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 77 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 77%, implied 58%, edge +18.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current WNBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 8:45PM UTC
WNBA
Sabrina Ionescu
WNBA
Latest Model Pick
Assists (Alt)
Over 4.5
-139 (1.72) · $100→$172
+18.6% Edge
Chicago Sky
@
New York Liberty
Barclays Center, New York · Indoor
Sat 29 Aug, 5:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls wnba spread calls: 946 of 1,282 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
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How often this wins
77 in 100
Predicted
6.2 Assists (Alt)
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 76.7% · the book's price implies 58.1% · gap +18.6%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Assists (Alt) | 76.7% | — | 58.1% | 1.30 | +18.6% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 3/3 |
| Last 5 games | 3/5 |
| Last 10 games | 7/10 |
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Sabrina Ionescu Over 4.5 Assists (-139)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing New York Liberty play Chicago Sky in the WNBA on Sunday 30 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Sabrina Ionescu Over 4.5 Assists. That is a player assists bet. It was priced at -139 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.20 if it lands. The game is at Barclays Center in New York. Our model expects Sabrina Ionescu to finish with about 6.2 assists. The line for this one is 4.5. Our number sits above that line. This is an alternate line, so the number is not the main one on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite.
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Sabrina Ionescu is tracked by the Bet Better model for WNBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Sabrina Ionescu is Over 4.5 on Assists (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.6% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Sky vs New York Liberty on Saturday 29 August at Barclays Center, New York. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your WNBA betting strategy.
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