WNBA
Katie Lou Samuelson
WNBA
Katie Lou Samuelson has one live pick today: under 5.5 points that pays $194 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
How often this wins
68 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 67.9% · the book's price implies 51.5% · gap +16.3%.
Latest Model PickFree
Portland Fire
@
Seattle Storm
Katie Lou Samuelson
under 5.5 points
Points
Under 5.5
-106 (1.94) · $100→$194
Value call
HIGHWins about 68 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10
If it wins$19.40
Odds-106
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Katie Lou Samuelson is Under 5.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 68 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 68%, the price says 52%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current WNBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 17, 7:46PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls wnba totals unders: 2,527 of 3,354 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
The Storm announced Friday that Samuelson underwent successful left knee surgery and will miss the remainder of the season.
updated Sep 11, 6:10PM UTC · 36d old
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| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Points | 67.9% | — | 51.5% | 2.07 | +16.3% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 1/3 |
| Last 5 games | 2/5 |
| Last 10 games | 7/10 |
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Katie Lou Samuelson Under 5.5 Points (-106)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing Seattle Storm play Portland Fire in the WNBA on Saturday 15 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Katie Lou Samuelson Under 5.5 Points. That is a player points bet. It was priced at -106 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.40 if it lands. The game is at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle. Our model expects Katie Lou Samuelson to finish with about 4.8 points. The line for this one is 5.5. Our number sits below that line. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite.
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Katie Lou Samuelson is tracked by the Bet Better model for WNBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Katie Lou Samuelson is Under 5.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.3% on this pick. Their next game is Portland Fire vs Seattle Storm on Friday 14 August at Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your WNBA betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.