Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Flau'jae Johnson is Over 11.5 on Points (Alt).
On the Points (Alt) market the model assigns a model win probability of 84%, versus the book's implied 70%, for a model edge of +14.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current WNBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 7:12PM UTC
WNBA
Flau'jae Johnson
WNBA
Latest Model Pick
Points (Alt)
Over 11.5
-233 (1.43) · $100→$143
+14.5% Edge
Chicago Sky
@
Seattle Storm
Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle · Indoor
Tue 11 Aug, 2:00AM
The recordWhen our formula calls wnba spread calls: 366 of 467 right
DAY-TO-DAY
Johnson is questionable for Monday's game against the Sky due to a left ankle injury.
updated Aug 10, 12:12AM UTC
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Implied Probability
69.9%
Predicted Value
16.9 Points (Alt)
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Points (Alt) | 84.4% | — | 69.9% | 1.18 | +14.5% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 1/3 |
| Last 5 games | 3/5 |
| Last 10 games | 4/10 |
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Flau'jae Johnson Over 11.5 Points (-233)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing Seattle Storm play Chicago Sky in the WNBA on Tuesday 11 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Flau'jae Johnson Over 11.5 Points. That is a player points bet. It was priced at -233 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.30 if it lands. The game is at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle. Our model expects Flau'jae Johnson to finish with about 16.9 points. The line for this one is 11.5. Our number sits above that line. This is an alternate line, so the number is not the main one on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite.
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Flau'jae Johnson is tracked by the Bet Better model for WNBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Flau'jae Johnson is Over 11.5 on Points (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +14.5% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Sky vs Seattle Storm on Tuesday 11 August at Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your WNBA betting strategy.
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