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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Flau'jae Johnson is Over 14.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 58 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 58%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current WNBA schedule.
Model updated Sep 20, 8:16PM UTC
WNBA

Flau'jae Johnson

WNBA

Value call

Flau'jae Johnson has one live pick today: Points Over 14.5 that pays $187 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Points Over 14.5 -115 (1.87) · $100→$187
Value call
Seattle Storm @ Las Vegas Aces
Michelob Ultra Arena, Las Vegas · Indoor
Mon 21 Sep, 1:00AM
The recordWhen our formula calls wnba totals unders: 1,907 of 2,587 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
58 in 100
Predicted
16.6 Points
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 57.7% · the book's price implies 53.5% · gap +4.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points57.7%53.5%2.00+4.3%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games4/10

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AI Analysis

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Flau'jae Johnson Over 14.5 Points (-115)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Las Vegas Aces play Seattle Storm in the WNBA on Monday 21 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Flau'jae Johnson Over 14.5 Points. That is a player points bet. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. The game is at Michelob Ultra Arena in Las Vegas. Our model expects Flau'jae Johnson to finish with about 16.6 points. The line for this one is 14.5. Our number sits above that line. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 9 of last 10(90%)
Overall Hit Rate (21 picks) 57.1% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Flau'jae Johnson's lines for Mon 21 Sep

Every market the books have posted for her, with the best price we can find, how often she has cleared the line lately, and her last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Points 14.5
-115 best over price · 5 booksHow many points does Flau'jae Johnson average?

Flau'jae Johnson's points line is 14.5, best over price -115 across 5 books.

Pts+Ast (Alt) 17.5
-112 best over price · 1 bookHow many points does Flau'jae Johnson average?

Flau'jae Johnson's pts+ast (alt) line is 17.5, best over price -112 across 1 book.

Assists 2.5
-125 best over price · 7 booksHow many points does Flau'jae Johnson average?

Flau'jae Johnson's assists line is 2.5, best over price -125 across 7 books.

Pts+Ast (Alt) 14.5

Flau'jae Johnson's pts+ast (alt) line is 14.5.

Pts+Reb+Ast (Alt) 19.5

Flau'jae Johnson's pts+reb+ast (alt) line is 19.5.

Pts+Reb (Alt) 18.5
-120 best over price · 1 bookHow many points does Flau'jae Johnson average?

Flau'jae Johnson's pts+reb (alt) line is 18.5, best over price -120 across 1 book.

Reb+Ast 7.5
+114 best over price · 2 booksHow many points does Flau'jae Johnson average?

Flau'jae Johnson's reb+ast line is 7.5, best over price +114 across 2 books.

Pts+Reb (Alt) 19.5
-118 best over price · 2 booksHow many points does Flau'jae Johnson average?

Flau'jae Johnson's pts+reb (alt) line is 19.5, best over price -118 across 2 books.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Sep 26 Seattle Storm @ Golden State Valkyries Points (Alt) 14.5 Over +108 ✓ HIT
20 Sep 26 Seattle Storm @ Golden State Valkyries Points (Alt) 11.5 Over -213 ✓ HIT
20 Sep 26 Seattle Storm @ Golden State Valkyries Assists 2.5 Under +123 ✓ HIT
20 Sep 26 Seattle Storm @ Golden State Valkyries Points Pending
20 Sep 26 Seattle Storm @ Golden State Valkyries Points (Alt) Pending
20 Sep 26 Seattle Storm @ Golden State Valkyries Rebounds Pending

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About This Player

Flau'jae Johnson is tracked by the Bet Better model for WNBA player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 57.1% on tracked Flau'jae Johnson picks. The latest model pick for Flau'jae Johnson is Over 14.5 on Points. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.3% on this pick. Their next game is Seattle Storm vs Las Vegas Aces on Monday 21 September at Michelob Ultra Arena, Las Vegas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your WNBA betting strategy.

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