Here are our NFL picks for Sunday 11 October 2026. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is James Cook (BUF) Over 75.5 Rushing Yards, priced at -112 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

James Cook (BUF) Over 75.5 Rushing Yards (-112)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Los Angeles Rams play Buffalo Bills in the NFL on Tuesday 13 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is James Cook (BUF) Over 75.5 Rushing Yards. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Justin Jefferson (MIN) Under 5.5 Receptions (+134)

Odds correct at time of publishing

New Orleans Saints play Minnesota Vikings in the NFL on Sunday 11 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Justin Jefferson (MIN) Under 5.5 Receptions. It was priced at +134 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $23.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Cody White (LV) Under 19.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

New England Patriots play Las Vegas Raiders in the NFL on Sunday 11 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Cody White (LV) Under 19.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Tony Pollard (TEN) Over 48.5 Rushing Yards (-111)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Tennessee Titans play Houston Texans in the NFL on Sunday 11 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Tony Pollard (TEN) Over 48.5 Rushing Yards. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Malik Nabers (NYG) Under 56.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Washington Commanders play New York Giants in the NFL on Sunday 11 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Malik Nabers (NYG) Under 56.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

James Cook (BUF) Over 75.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Los Angeles Rams play Buffalo Bills in the NFL on Tuesday 13 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is James Cook (BUF) Over 75.5 Rushing Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the model's read on today's NFL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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