Here are our AFL picks for Thursday 24 September 2026. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Jaspa Fletcher (Brisbane Lions) Over 16.5 Disposals, priced at -120 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Jaspa Fletcher (Brisbane Lions) Over 16.5 Disposals (-120)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Fremantle Dockers play Brisbane Lions in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Jaspa Fletcher (Brisbane Lions) Over 16.5 Disposals. It was priced at -120 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jaspa Fletcher (Brisbane Lions) Over 16.5 Disposals (-120)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Fremantle Dockers play Brisbane Lions in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Jaspa Fletcher (Brisbane Lions) Over 16.5 Disposals. It was priced at -120 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Oscar McDonald (Fremantle) Over 10.5 Disposals (-118)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Fremantle Dockers play Brisbane Lions in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Oscar McDonald (Fremantle) Over 10.5 Disposals. It was priced at -118 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Oscar McDonald (Fremantle) Over 10.5 Disposals (-118)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Fremantle Dockers play Brisbane Lions in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Oscar McDonald (Fremantle) Over 10.5 Disposals. It was priced at -118 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Logan Morris (Brisbane Lions) Over 9.5 Disposals (-110)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Fremantle Dockers play Brisbane Lions in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Logan Morris (Brisbane Lions) Over 9.5 Disposals. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Logan Morris (Brisbane Lions) Over 9.5 Disposals (-110)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Fremantle Dockers play Brisbane Lions in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Logan Morris (Brisbane Lions) Over 9.5 Disposals. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the model's read on today's AFL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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