Here are our AFL picks for Thursday 24 September 2026. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Alex Pearce (Fremantle) Over 8.5 Disposals, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Alex Pearce (Fremantle) Over 8.5 Disposals (-110)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Fremantle Dockers play Brisbane Lions in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Alex Pearce (Fremantle) Over 8.5 Disposals. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jaspa Fletcher (Brisbane Lions) Over 16.5 Disposals (-119)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Fremantle Dockers play Brisbane Lions in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Jaspa Fletcher (Brisbane Lions) Over 16.5 Disposals. It was priced at -119 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jaspa Fletcher (Brisbane Lions) Over 16.5 Disposals (-119)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Fremantle Dockers play Brisbane Lions in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Jaspa Fletcher (Brisbane Lions) Over 16.5 Disposals. It was priced at -119 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jordan Clark (Fremantle) Over 20.5 Disposals (-119)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Fremantle Dockers play Brisbane Lions in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Jordan Clark (Fremantle) Over 20.5 Disposals. It was priced at -119 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jordan Clark (Fremantle) Over 20.5 Disposals (-119)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Fremantle Dockers play Brisbane Lions in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Jordan Clark (Fremantle) Over 20.5 Disposals. It was priced at -119 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Conor McKenna (Brisbane Lions) Over 0.5 Goals (-114)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Fremantle Dockers play Brisbane Lions in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Conor McKenna (Brisbane Lions) Over 0.5 Goals. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the model's read on today's AFL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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