Today's Tennis Best Bets

Here are our Tennis picks for Wednesday 4 November 2026. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Daniil Medvedev to win the match, priced at -625 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev: Daniil Medvedev to win the match (-625)

Ignacio Buse faces Daniil Medvedev at Paris Masters on Wednesday 4 November 2026. They are playing on a hard court. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Daniil Medvedev wins the match. It was priced at -625 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.60 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Daniil Medvedev is the favorite to win against Ignacio Buse because he has been playing really well lately, winning 4 out of his last 5 matches. He also has a strong serve, winning around 70% of his first serve points on hard courts. This means he is likely to keep the pressure on Buse throughout the match. Bet only what you can afford to lose.

Alex Michelsen vs Carlos Alcaraz: Carlos Alcaraz to win the match (-556)

Alex Michelsen faces Carlos Alcaraz at Paris Masters on Wednesday 4 November 2026. They are playing on a hard court. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Carlos Alcaraz wins the match. It was priced at -556 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.80 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Carlos Alcaraz is the favorite to win against Alex Michelsen because he has been playing really well lately, winning 80% of his last five matches. His first serve rate is strong at 72.7%, and he wins about 76% of points on his first serve, which is better than his opponent. Since they are playing on hard courts, Alcaraz's skills match the surface perfectly. Remember, bet only what you can afford to lose.

Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Alex de Minaur: Alex de Minaur to win the match (-417)

Tomas Martin Etcheverry faces Alex de Minaur at Paris Masters on Wednesday 4 November 2026. They are playing on a hard court. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Alex de Minaur wins the match. It was priced at -417 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.40 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Alex de Minaur is favored to win against Tomas Martin Etcheverry because he has a strong track record on hard courts, and his skills with serves and returns usually give him an advantage. Although both players have not shown great form recently, de Minaur's experience and hard-court ability make him the likely winner. Remember to bet only what you can afford to lose.

Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz: Taylor Fritz to win the match (-385)

Alex Molcan faces Taylor Fritz at Paris Masters on Wednesday 4 November 2026. They are playing on a hard court. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Taylor Fritz wins the match. It was priced at -385 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.60 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Taylor Fritz is favored to win against Alex Molcan because he has been in great form recently, winning 60% of his last five matches. His first-serve percentage is strong at around 66%, and he wins 84% of his first-serve points, which is impressive. Fritz's performance on hard courts adds to his advantage, making him a tough opponent. Bet only what you can afford to lose.

Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata: Novak Djokovic to win the match (-345)

Novak Djokovic faces Rinky Hijikata at Paris Masters on Wednesday 4 November 2026. They are playing on a hard court. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Novak Djokovic wins the match. It was priced at -345 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.90 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Novak Djokovic is the favorite to win against Rinky Hijikata because he has been playing really well lately, winning 60% of his last matches. His serve is strong, winning over 77% of points on his first serve. Since they are playing on hard court, which Djokovic excels at, he has the skills to perform well. Bet only what you can afford to lose.

Tommy Paul vs Daniel Merida Aguilar: Tommy Paul to win the match (-370)

Tommy Paul faces Daniel Merida Aguilar at Paris Masters on Wednesday 4 November 2026. They are playing on a hard court. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Tommy Paul wins the match. It was priced at -370 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.70 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Tommy Paul is the favorite because he's been playing well recently, winning 60% of his last five matches. His first-serve percentage is strong at about 63%, and he wins 80% of points on his first serve. Plus, he's used to this hard surface, which gives him a good chance to perform well. Remember, always bet only what you can afford to lose.

That is the model's read on today's Tennis card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.