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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Nico Elvedi is Over 0.5 on Shots.
On Shots, our numbers say this bet wins about 41 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 41%, implied 39%, edge +1.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current Soccer schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 7:22AM UTC
Soccer

Nico Elvedi

Borussia Mönchengladbach

+1.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Shots Over 0.5 +155 (2.55) · $100→$255
+1.4% Edge
Colombia @ Switzerland
Fri 10 Jul, 7:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls soccer draw no bet calls: 43 of 91 right
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
41 in 100
Predicted
0.2 Shots
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 40.6% · the book's price implies 39.2% · gap +1.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots40.6%39.2%2.46+1.4%

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AI Analysis

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Nico Elvedi (Switzerland) Over 0.5 Shots (+155)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As Switzerland gears up to face Colombia, all eyes should be on Nico Elvedi, particularly when it comes to the Over 0.5 shots market. While his recent averages might appear modest—0.4 shots per game at home—the context is critical. Elvedi's defensive role often sees him stepping up during set pieces, and with Switzerland's attacking prowess, he could find himself in the right place at the right time. In his last five outings, Elvedi has managed to put three shots on target, showcasing a growing confidence that aligns perfectly with this matchup. With a hit rate of 2 out of 4 in home games and a current hit streak, it feels like the stars are aligning for him. Colombia presents a dynamic challenge; if the Swiss can press high, expect Elvedi to capitalize on any openings. Betting on him to register at least one shot feels like a savvy play in this high-stakes environment.

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Pick History & Track Record

Nico Elvedi — 2024 season

Nico Elvedi scored 0 goals with 0 assists in 3 Bundesliga appearances for M'Gladbach in the 2024 season, from 3 shots (0 on target) and an expected-goals total of 0.2.

0
Goals
0
Assists
0.2
xG
3
Shots
0
On target
1
Key passes
3
Apps
143
Minutes
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Nico Elvedi (Borussia Mönchengladbach) is tracked by the Bet Better model for Soccer player prop betting. The latest model pick for Nico Elvedi is Over 0.5 on Shots. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.4% on this pick. Their next game is Colombia vs Switzerland on Friday 10 July. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your Soccer betting strategy.

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