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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Sean Nealis is Over 0.5 on Shots.
On Shots, our numbers say this bet wins about 34 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 34%, implied 29%, edge +11.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current Soccer schedule.
Model updated Sep 12, 4:43AM UTC
Soccer

Sean Nealis

New York Red Bulls

+11.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Shots Over 0.5 +240 (3.40) · $100→$340
+11.1% Edge
Atlanta United FC @ D.C. United
Sat 12 Sep, 11:30PM
The recordWhen our formula calls soccer draw no bet calls: 62 of 128 right
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Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
41 in 100
Predicted
0.2 Shots
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 40.6% · the book's price implies 29.4% · gap +11.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots40.6%34.4%29.4%2.91+11.1%

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AI Analysis

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Sean Nealis (D.C. United) Over 0.5 Shots (+240)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As D.C. United prepares to face Atlanta United, keep an eye on Sean Nealis for the Over 0.5 shots prop. While his recent averages might suggest a quiet output, the match's dynamics could play in his favor. Atlanta's defense has shown vulnerabilities, especially on the road, creating chances for defenders to push forward. Nealis, while not a frequent shooter, may find opportunities to join the attack, particularly with home-field advantage fueling D.C.'s offensive mindset. The model hints at an 11.1% edge, suggesting that even with a modest expectation, the odds are in our favor for him to at least test the keeper. A surprise shot or two could easily materialize, especially if the match opens up. Embrace the element of surprise with Nealis and watch for him to capitalize on a rare chance to contribute in the attacking third.

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Pick History & Track Record

Sean Nealis's lines for Sat 12 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Shots 0.5
+220 best over price · 1 book

Sean Nealis's shots line is 0.5, best over price +220 across 1 book.

Shots 1.5
+220 best over price · 1 book

Sean Nealis's shots line is 1.5, best over price +220 across 1 book.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Sean Nealis (New York Red Bulls) is tracked by the Bet Better model for Soccer player prop betting. The latest model pick for Sean Nealis is Over 0.5 on Shots. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.1% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta United FC vs D.C. United on Saturday 12 September. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your Soccer betting strategy.

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