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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Luca Petrasso is Over 0.5 on Shots.
On Shots, our numbers say this bet wins about 42 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 42%, implied 26%, edge +16.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current Soccer schedule.
Model updated Sep 13, 5:06AM UTC
Soccer

Luca Petrasso

Toronto FC

+16.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Shots Over 0.5 +290 (3.90) · $100→$390
+16.8% Edge
CF Montreal @ Colorado Rapids
Sun 13 Sep, 1:30AM
The recordWhen our formula calls soccer draw no bet calls: 65 of 136 right
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Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
42 in 100
Predicted
0.3 Shots
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 42.4% · the book's price implies 25.6% · gap +16.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots42.4%25.6%2.36+16.8%

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AI Analysis

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Luca Petrasso (CF Montreal) Over 0.5 Shots (+290)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As CF Montreal heads to Colorado, all eyes are on Luca Petrasso, who might just surprise us in the shots department. While his recent numbers may suggest a quiet spell—averaging only 0.2 shots overall in his last five games—there's more to the story. His away form is intriguing; despite not registering any shots recently, Petrasso has the potential to break through, especially against a Colorado Rapids side that has shown vulnerability at the back. What stands out is that Petrasso has a penchant for creating chances, and with an implied probability nearly higher than his recent production suggests, this might just be the game he finds his rhythm. Sometimes, a player needs the right moment and environment to spark their creativity. At this price, taking the over on 0.5 shots feels like a savvy play—Petrasso could very well step up when his team needs him most.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Luca Petrasso (Toronto FC) is tracked by the Bet Better model for Soccer player prop betting. The latest model pick for Luca Petrasso is Over 0.5 on Shots. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.8% on this pick. Their next game is CF Montreal vs Colorado Rapids on Sunday 13 September. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your Soccer betting strategy.

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