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Soccer

John Nelson

FC Cincinnati

Value call

John Nelson (FC Cincinnati) has one live pick today: to score a goal that pays $4,100 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
3 in 100
Predicted
0.0 Anytime Goal
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 3.0% · before adjusting for past results 4.3% · the book's price implies 2.4% · gap +0.5%.

Latest Model PickFree
LA Galaxy @ St. Louis City SC
Sun 11 Oct, 7:00 PM ET
John Nelson
to score a goal
Anytime Goal Yes +4000 (41.00) · $100→$4,100
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 3 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$410.00 Odds+4000
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for John Nelson is Yes on Anytime Goal.
On Anytime Goal, our numbers say this bet wins about 3 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 3%, the price says 2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current Soccer schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 4:21PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls soccer total goals overs: +$2,522 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime Goal4.3%3.0%2.4%33.53+1.8%

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AI Analysis

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John Nelson (LA Galaxy) Yes Anytime Goalscorer (+4000)

Odds correct at time of publishing

While it may seem a long shot to back John Nelson as an anytime goalscorer against St. Louis City SC, there’s an intriguing potential upside here. The LA Galaxy are often a mixed bag on the road, and Nelson, despite his current stats showing no goals or significant shots, could find himself in the right place at the right time. St. Louis City’s defensive setup can be porous, particularly against teams that take a few chances. If the Galaxy find a way to unlock that defense, Nelson’s pace could create opportunities he hasn’t had in recent matches. With the odds heavily stacked against him, this bet is not for the faint-hearted, but sometimes the most unexpected players can rise to the occasion when needed. If he gets even a half-chance, the reward for backing him could be well worth the risk.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Aug 26 FC Dallas @ LA Galaxy Shots 0.5 Over +290 ✓ HIT
19 Aug 26 San Jose Earthquakes @ LA Galaxy Shots — — — Pending

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About This Player

John Nelson (FC Cincinnati) is tracked by the Bet Better model for Soccer player prop betting. The latest model pick for John Nelson is Yes on Anytime Goal. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.8% on this pick. Their next game is LA Galaxy vs St. Louis City SC on Sunday 11 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your Soccer betting strategy.

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